1. Division — Cyprus
Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 15:00 • AEK Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.78 (league 1.54) 0.64 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.1% 37.8% 27.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
24.2%
1 - 0
18.8%
0 - 1
15.5%
Score & goals probability table
Omonia Aradippou
0 1 2 3 4 5
AEK Larnaca 0 24.2% 15.5% 5.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.8% 12.1% 3.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.3% 4.7% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAEK LarnacaOmonia Aradippou
Played55
Form67%40%
Attack100%20%
Defense40%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.22 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AEK Larnaca Omonia Aradippou
HATHAT
Played459459
Wins50%60%56%0%40%22%
Draws25%20%22%0%20%11%
Loses25%20%22%100%40%67%

Form: AEK Larnaca: WDLWWLWDW • Omonia Aradippou: DLLLWLLWL

League goals

Metric AEK Larnaca Omonia Aradippou
HATHAT
GF total8917022
GF avg2.01.81.90.00.40.2
GA total73108311
GA avg1.80.61.12.00.61.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAEK LarnacaOmonia Aradippou
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%67%22%67%
1.567%22%0%33%
2.522%11%0%11%
3.511%11%0%11%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAEK LarnacaOmonia Aradippou
HATHAT
Clean sheets123033
Failed to score011437

Penalties

MetricAEK LarnacaOmonia Aradippou
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricAEK LarnacaOmonia Aradippou
Wins21
Draws11
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-4—0-1
Biggest losses2-41-00-42-0
Goals For3401
Goals Against4142

Model comparison

MetricAEK LarnacaOmonia Aradippou
Form63%38%
Att85%15%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h67%33%
Goals71%29%
Total65.5%34.7%

Advice: Double chance : AEK Larnaca or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.38 @ Bet365
Draw4.97 @ Pinnacle
Away8.70 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.99 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.28 @ Unibet
No1.67 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AEK Larnaca = 0.78 (league 1.54), Omonia Aradippou = 0.64 (league 1.12)

Omonia Aradippou
0 1 2 3 4 5
AEK Larnaca 0 24.2% 15.5% 5.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.8% 12.1% 3.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.3% 4.7% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.1% · Draw 37.8% · Away win 27.0%

Vtot 6 , Vtod1