1. Division — Cyprus
Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 17:00 • Neo GSP
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.60 (league 1.49) 2.08 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
9.6% 18.5% 69.9%
best score tips
0 - 2
14.8%
0 - 1
14.2%
0 - 3
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
AEK Larnaca
0 1 2 3 4 5
Olympiakos 0 6.8% 14.2% 14.8% 10.2% 5.3% 2.2%
1 4.1% 8.6% 8.9% 6.2% 3.2% 1.3%
2 1.2% 2.6% 2.7% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4%
3 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOlympiakosAEK Larnaca
Played55
Form47%67%
Attack54%62%
Defense54%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Olympiakos AEK Larnaca
HATHAT
Played46105510
Wins25%17%20%60%60%60%
Draws75%33%50%20%20%20%
Loses0%50%30%20%20%20%

Form: Olympiakos: LWLDLDDDWD • AEK Larnaca: WDLWWLWDWW

League goals

Metric Olympiakos AEK Larnaca
HATHAT
GF total65119918
GF avg1.50.81.11.81.81.8
GA total59147310
GA avg1.31.51.41.40.61.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOlympiakosAEK Larnaca
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%90%90%60%
1.530%50%60%20%
2.50%0%20%10%
3.50%0%10%10%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOlympiakosAEK Larnaca
HATHAT
Clean sheets011224
Failed to score022011

Penalties

MetricOlympiakosAEK Larnaca
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricOlympiakosAEK Larnaca
Wins12
Draws31
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-12-00-4
Biggest losses—2-02-41-0
Goals For2234
Goals Against2241

Model comparison

MetricOlympiakosAEK Larnaca
Form41%59%
Att47%53%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution23%77%
H2h15%85%
Goals33%67%
Total34.8%65.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or AEK Larnaca

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home6.41 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.95 @ 188Bet
Away1.57 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.96 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.93 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.03 @ Pinnacle
No1.80 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Olympiakos = 0.60 (league 1.49), AEK Larnaca = 2.08 (league 1.13)

AEK Larnaca
0 1 2 3 4 5
Olympiakos 0 6.8% 14.2% 14.8% 10.2% 5.3% 2.2%
1 4.1% 8.6% 8.9% 6.2% 3.2% 1.3%
2 1.2% 2.6% 2.7% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4%
3 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 9.6% · Draw 18.5% · Away win 69.9%

vtt 5 , vtd1