1. Division — Cyprus
Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 17:00 • Alphamega Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.59 (league 1.50) 0.84 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.5% 25.1% 19.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.9%
1 - 1
11.7%
2 - 0
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
Apollon Limassol
0 1 2 3 4 5
AEL 0 8.7% 7.4% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 13.9% 11.7% 5.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.1% 9.4% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.9% 5.0% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.4% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAELApollon Limassol
Played55
Form60%67%
Attack46%54%
Defense54%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AEL Apollon Limassol
HATHAT
Played65115611
Wins67%20%45%60%50%55%
Draws17%0%9%0%17%9%
Loses17%80%45%40%33%36%

Form: AEL: WLDLLWLWLWW • Apollon Limassol: LLWWLWWDLWW

League goals

Metric AEL Apollon Limassol
HATHAT
GF total122147714
GF avg2.00.41.31.41.21.3
GA total513185712
GA avg0.82.61.61.01.21.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAELApollon Limassol
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.555%73%82%45%
1.545%45%36%45%
2.518%18%9%18%
3.59%18%0%0%
4.50%9%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAELApollon Limassol
HATHAT
Clean sheets303336
Failed to score145112

Penalties

MetricAELApollon Limassol
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricAELApollon Limassol
Wins12
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-23-00-2
Biggest losses0-25-00-33-1
Goals For4232
Goals Against2533

Model comparison

MetricAELApollon Limassol
Form47%53%
Att46%54%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h20%80%
Goals25%75%
Total40.7%59.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Apollon Limassol

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.57 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away2.20 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.77 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.84 @ 188Bet
No2.03 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

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Expected goals (λ): AEL = 1.59 (league 1.50), Apollon Limassol = 0.84 (league 1.14)

Apollon Limassol
0 1 2 3 4 5
AEL 0 8.7% 7.4% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 13.9% 11.7% 5.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.1% 9.4% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.9% 5.0% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.4% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.5% · Draw 25.1% · Away win 19.8%

Vtot 9 , Vtod1