1. Division — Cyprus
Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 15:00 • Neo GSP
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.39 (league 1.55) 1.04 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.7% 26.9% 27.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.7%
1 - 0
12.3%
0 - 1
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Aris
0 1 2 3 4 5
Apoel Nicosia 0 8.8% 9.1% 4.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 12.3% 12.7% 6.6% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.5% 8.9% 4.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.0% 4.1% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricApoel NicosiaAris
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack60%80%
Defense53%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.812 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Apoel Nicosia Aris
HATHAT
Played57127512
Wins40%57%50%100%20%67%
Draws20%43%33%0%40%17%
Loses40%0%17%0%40%17%

Form: Apoel Nicosia: WLWWWWDDWDLD • Aris: WWWLWDWDWWLW

League goals

Metric Apoel Nicosia Aris
HATHAT
GF total9162522527
GF avg1.82.32.13.11.02.3
GA total6511268
GA avg1.20.70.90.31.20.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineApoel NicosiaAris
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%67%92%42%
1.567%25%67%17%
2.525%0%50%8%
3.525%0%17%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricApoel NicosiaAris
HATHAT
Clean sheets134527
Failed to score101011

Penalties

MetricApoel NicosiaAris
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricApoel NicosiaAris
Wins43
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-44-00-1
Biggest losses1-2——3-2
Goals For4442
Goals Against2213

Model comparison

MetricApoel NicosiaAris
Form38%63%
Att43%57%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h40%60%
Goals42%58%
Total43.0%57.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Aris

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.88 @ Bet365
Draw3.37 @ Pinnacle
Away2.48 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.02 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.87 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.74 @ Unibet
No2.11 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Apoel Nicosia = 1.39 (league 1.55), Aris = 1.04 (league 1.16)

Aris
0 1 2 3 4 5
Apoel Nicosia 0 8.8% 9.1% 4.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 12.3% 12.7% 6.6% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.5% 8.9% 4.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.0% 4.1% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.7% · Draw 26.9% · Away win 27.9%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1