1. Division — Cyprus
Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 15:00 • AEK Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.82 (league 1.50) 1.02 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.9% 22.9% 21.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.9%
1 - 0
10.6%
2 - 1
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Anorthosis
0 1 2 3 4 5
AEK Larnaca 0 5.8% 6.0% 3.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 10.6% 10.9% 5.6% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.6% 9.9% 5.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.8% 6.0% 3.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.6% 2.7% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.0% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAEK LarnacaAnorthosis
Played55
Form73%40%
Attack69%31%
Defense69%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AEK Larnaca Anorthosis
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins57%63%60%0%29%13%
Draws29%25%27%88%14%53%
Loses14%13%13%13%57%33%

Form: AEK Larnaca: WDLWWLWDWWWDWDW • Anorthosis: DLDLLLDDWDWDDLD

League goals

Metric AEK Larnaca Anorthosis
HATHAT
GF total1215276612
GF avg1.71.91.80.80.90.8
GA total9514111122
GA avg1.30.60.91.41.61.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAEK LarnacaAnorthosis
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.593%67%60%73%
1.553%13%13%40%
2.520%7%7%13%
3.513%7%0%13%
4.50%0%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAEK LarnacaAnorthosis
HATHAT
Clean sheets235224
Failed to score011336

Penalties

MetricAEK LarnacaAnorthosis
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricAEK LarnacaAnorthosis
Wins31
Draws12
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-4—2-3
Biggest losses2-41-00-54-1
Goals For3423
Goals Against4154

Model comparison

MetricAEK LarnacaAnorthosis
Form65%35%
Att69%31%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h75%25%
Goals60%40%
Total64.3%35.7%

Advice: Double chance : AEK Larnaca or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.60 @ William Hill
Draw3.95 @ 188Bet
Away7.20 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.08 @ SBO
Under 2.51.85 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.16 @ 188Bet
No1.73 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AEK Larnaca = 1.82 (league 1.50), Anorthosis = 1.02 (league 1.14)

Anorthosis
0 1 2 3 4 5
AEK Larnaca 0 5.8% 6.0% 3.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 10.6% 10.9% 5.6% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.6% 9.9% 5.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.8% 6.0% 3.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.6% 2.7% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.0% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.9% · Draw 22.9% · Away win 21.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1