1. Division — Cyprus
Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 17:00 • Alphamega Stadium
Match Finished

AEL

2 - 1
Expected Goals
0.96 (league 1.50) 1.09 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.3% 30.3% 38.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.0%
1 - 1
13.5%
0 - 0
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Aris
0 1 2 3 4 5
AEL 0 12.8% 14.0% 7.7% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.3% 13.5% 7.4% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2%
2 5.9% 6.5% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.9% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAELAris
Played55
Form40%53%
Attack31%69%
Defense62%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AEL Aris
HATHAT
Played9101910919
Wins44%40%42%80%33%58%
Draws22%10%16%10%33%21%
Loses33%50%42%10%33%21%

Form: AEL: WLDLLWLWLWWDWDLWLWL • Aris: WWWLWDWDWWLWLWDDWWL

League goals

Metric AEL Aris
HATHAT
GF total14923281038
GF avg1.60.91.22.81.12.0
GA total1016269817
GA avg1.11.61.40.90.90.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAELAris
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%68%84%42%
1.542%42%63%26%
2.516%11%42%11%
3.55%11%11%5%
4.50%5%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAELAris
HATHAT
Clean sheets3366511
Failed to score358033

Penalties

MetricAELAris
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricAELAris
Wins23
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-34-00-3
Biggest losses0-25-03-52-0
Goals For4343
Goals Against2553

Model comparison

MetricAELAris
Form43%57%
Att31%69%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h20%80%
Goals6%94%
Total34.2%65.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Aris

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.62 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.85 @ Dafabet
Away1.65 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.96 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ Pinnacle
No1.92 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): AEL = 0.96 (league 1.50), Aris = 1.09 (league 1.11)

Aris
0 1 2 3 4 5
AEL 0 12.8% 14.0% 7.7% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.3% 13.5% 7.4% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2%
2 5.9% 6.5% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.9% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.3% · Draw 30.3% · Away win 38.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1