1. Division — Cyprus
Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 17:00 • AEK Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.39 (league 1.49) 1.06 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.2% 26.9% 28.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.7%
1 - 0
12.0%
0 - 1
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Apollon Limassol
0 1 2 3 4 5
AEK Larnaca 0 8.7% 9.2% 4.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.0% 12.7% 6.7% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.4% 8.8% 4.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.9% 4.1% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAEK LarnacaApollon Limassol
Played55
Form80%100%
Attack79%79%
Defense71%86%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.211 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AEK Larnaca Apollon Limassol
HATHAT
Played101121111021
Wins70%64%67%64%60%62%
Draws20%18%19%9%20%14%
Loses10%18%14%27%20%24%

Form: AEK Larnaca: WDLWWLWDWWWDWDWWLWWWW • Apollon Limassol: LLWWLWWDLWWDDLWWWWWWW

League goals

Metric AEK Larnaca Apollon Limassol
HATHAT
GF total231942181230
GF avg2.31.72.01.61.21.4
GA total1081810919
GA avg1.00.70.90.90.90.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAEK LarnacaApollon Limassol
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%67%81%48%
1.562%10%43%33%
2.524%5%14%10%
3.519%5%5%0%
4.55%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAEK LarnacaApollon Limassol
HATHAT
Clean sheets4375611
Failed to score022314

Penalties

MetricAEK LarnacaApollon Limassol
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total54

Streaks

MetricAEK LarnacaApollon Limassol
Wins32
Draws12
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-44-00-2
Biggest losses2-41-00-33-1
Goals For5442
Goals Against4133

Model comparison

MetricAEK LarnacaApollon Limassol
Form44%56%
Att50%50%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h93%7%
Goals80%20%
Total59.5%40.5%

Advice: Double chance : AEK Larnaca or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.89 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away4.49 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.14 @ SBO
Under 2.51.76 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.88 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AEK Larnaca = 1.39 (league 1.49), Apollon Limassol = 1.06 (league 1.14)

Apollon Limassol
0 1 2 3 4 5
AEK Larnaca 0 8.7% 9.2% 4.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.0% 12.7% 6.7% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.4% 8.8% 4.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.9% 4.1% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.2% · Draw 26.9% · Away win 28.5%

vtt 2 , vtd1