1. Division — Cyprus
Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 14:00 • Alphamega Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.72 (league 1.49) 0.64 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.6% 23.1% 13.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.2%
2 - 0
13.9%
1 - 1
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
AEL
0 1 2 3 4 5
Apollon Limassol 0 9.4% 6.1% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.2% 10.4% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.9% 8.9% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.0% 5.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.4% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricApollon LimassolAEL
Played55
Form87%40%
Attack41%35%
Defense88%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Apollon Limassol AEL
HATHAT
Played121224121224
Wins67%58%63%42%42%42%
Draws8%25%17%17%8%13%
Loses25%17%21%42%50%46%

Form: Apollon Limassol: LLWWLWWDLWWDDLWWWWWWWWWD • AEL: WLDLLWLWLWWDWDLWLWLWLLWL

League goals

Metric Apollon Limassol AEL
HATHAT
GF total191433181129
GF avg1.61.21.41.50.91.2
GA total101020151934
GA avg0.80.80.81.31.61.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineApollon LimassolAEL
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%46%58%71%
1.538%29%46%42%
2.513%8%13%17%
3.54%0%4%8%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricApollon LimassolAEL
HATHAT
Clean sheets6713347
Failed to score3144610

Penalties

MetricApollon LimassolAEL
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricApollon LimassolAEL
Wins92
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-24-11-3
Biggest losses0-33-10-25-0
Goals For4243
Goals Against3335

Model comparison

MetricApollon LimassolAEL
Form68%32%
Att54%46%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h71%29%
Goals69%31%
Total69.0%31.0%

Advice: Double chance : Apollon Limassol or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.61 @ Unibet
Draw3.93 @ Pinnacle
Away6.02 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.03 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.82 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.06 @ 188Bet
No1.83 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Apollon Limassol = 1.72 (league 1.49), AEL = 0.64 (league 1.12)

AEL
0 1 2 3 4 5
Apollon Limassol 0 9.4% 6.1% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.2% 10.4% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.9% 8.9% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.0% 5.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.4% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.6% · Draw 23.1% · Away win 13.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1