1. Division — Cyprus
Mon, Mar 16 2026 • 17:00 • Ethnikos Achnas
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.70 (league 1.48) 1.49 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.6% 26.3% 55.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.6%
0 - 2
12.4%
1 - 1
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
AEK Larnaca
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ethnikos Achna 0 11.2% 16.6% 12.4% 6.1% 2.3% 0.7%
1 7.9% 11.7% 8.7% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5%
2 2.8% 4.1% 3.1% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.6% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEthnikos AchnaAEK Larnaca
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack35%41%
Defense65%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ethnikos Achna AEK Larnaca
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins50%8%28%62%58%60%
Draws8%8%8%23%17%20%
Loses42%85%64%15%25%20%

Form: Ethnikos Achna: DWDWLWLWLLLLLLLLLLLWWWLLL • AEK Larnaca: WDLWWLWDWWWDWDWWLWWWWLLDW

League goals

Metric Ethnikos Achna AEK Larnaca
HATHAT
GF total151025272047
GF avg1.30.81.02.11.71.9
GA total123042121022
GA avg1.02.31.70.90.80.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEthnikos AchnaAEK Larnaca
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.552%84%88%68%
1.532%44%56%12%
2.58%28%24%4%
3.54%12%16%4%
4.54%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEthnikos AchnaAEK Larnaca
HATHAT
Clean sheets314538
Failed to score6612123

Penalties

MetricEthnikos AchnaAEK Larnaca
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total16

Streaks

MetricEthnikos AchnaAEK Larnaca
Wins34
Draws11
Losses112

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-25-00-4
Biggest losses0-34-02-42-1
Goals For5254
Goals Against3442

Model comparison

MetricEthnikos AchnaAEK Larnaca
Form46%54%
Att46%54%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h25%75%
Goals42%58%
Total39.7%60.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or AEK Larnaca

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.55 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.90 @ Bet365
Away1.67 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.98 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.92 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.04 @ 188Bet
No1.88 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ethnikos Achna = 0.70 (league 1.48), AEK Larnaca = 1.49 (league 1.14)

AEK Larnaca
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ethnikos Achna 0 11.2% 16.6% 12.4% 6.1% 2.3% 0.7%
1 7.9% 11.7% 8.7% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5%
2 2.8% 4.1% 3.1% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.6% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.6% · Draw 26.3% · Away win 55.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1