Wed, Oct 1 2025 • 14:00 • Stade Abdelaziz Chtioui
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.18 (league 1.19) 1.41 (league 0.83)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
4.5% 25.9% 69.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
28.8%
0 - 0
20.5%
0 - 2
20.3%
Score & goals probability table
ES Tunis
0 1 2 3 4 5
AS Marsa 0 20.5% 28.8% 20.3% 9.6% 3.4% 1.0%
1 3.6% 5.1% 3.6% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
2 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAS MarsaES Tunis
Played55
Form27%80%
Attack27%91%
Defense55%91%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 11 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

41%
FT probability

2.5+

29%
FT probability

3.5+

20%
FT probability

BTTS

40%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AS Marsa ES Tunis
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins67%0%29%75%33%57%
Draws33%0%14%25%33%29%
Loses0%100%57%0%33%14%

Form: AS Marsa: LWLDLWL • ES Tunis: DDWWLWW

League goals

Metric AS Marsa ES Tunis
HATHAT
GF total2247411
GF avg0.70.50.61.81.31.6
GA total066112
GA avg0.01.50.90.30.30.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAS MarsaES Tunis
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%57%71%29%
1.50%29%57%0%
2.50%0%14%0%
3.50%0%14%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAS MarsaES Tunis
HATHAT
Clean sheets303325
Failed to score123022

Penalties

MetricAS MarsaES Tunis
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricAS MarsaES Tunis
Wins12
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-02-00-4
Biggest losses2-11-0
Goals For1124
Goals Against0211

Model comparison

MetricAS MarsaES Tunis
Form25%75%
Att23%77%
Def17%83%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total21.7%78.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or ES Tunis and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home7.26 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.95 @ Unibet
Away1.54 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.58 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.57 @ Pinnacle
No1.50 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AS Marsa = 0.18 (league 1.19), ES Tunis = 1.41 (league 0.83)

ES Tunis
0 1 2 3 4 5
AS Marsa 0 20.5% 28.8% 20.3% 9.6% 3.4% 1.0%
1 3.6% 5.1% 3.6% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
2 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.5% · Draw 25.9% · Away win 69.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1