Ligue 1 — Tunisia
Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 14:30 • Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.13 (league 1.15) 0.87 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.5% 30.5% 27.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.3%
0 - 0
13.6%
1 - 1
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
US Ben Guerdane
0 1 2 3 4 5
Club Africain 0 13.6% 11.8% 5.1% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
1 15.3% 13.3% 5.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.7% 7.5% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.3% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricClub AfricainUS Ben Guerdane
Played55
Form47%20%
Attack67%22%
Defense56%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

50%
FT probability

2.5+

35%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Club Africain US Ben Guerdane
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins33%75%57%25%0%14%
Draws33%0%14%50%33%43%
Loses33%25%29%25%67%43%

Form: Club Africain: WWLWDWL • US Ben Guerdane: WLDDLLD

League goals

Metric Club Africain US Ben Guerdane
HATHAT
GF total358224
GF avg1.01.31.10.50.70.6
GA total314145
GA avg1.00.30.60.31.30.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineClub AfricainUS Ben Guerdane
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%43%43%57%
1.514%14%14%14%
2.514%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricClub AfricainUS Ben Guerdane
HATHAT
Clean sheets134303
Failed to score011314

Penalties

MetricClub AfricainUS Ben Guerdane
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricClub AfricainUS Ben Guerdane
Wins21
Draws12
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-32-0—
Biggest losses1-21-00-12-1
Goals For1321
Goals Against2112

Model comparison

MetricClub AfricainUS Ben Guerdane
Form70%30%
Att75%25%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h75%25%
Goals67%33%
Total65.8%34.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Club Africain or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.42 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.90 @ Bet365
Away10.00 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.55 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.53 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes3.00 @ Betfair
No1.40 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Club Africain = 1.13 (league 1.15), US Ben Guerdane = 0.87 (league 0.81)

US Ben Guerdane
0 1 2 3 4 5
Club Africain 0 13.6% 11.8% 5.1% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
1 15.3% 13.3% 5.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.7% 7.5% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.3% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.5% · Draw 30.5% · Away win 27.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1