Wed, Oct 1 2025 • 14:00 • Stade Olympique de Sousse
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.00 (league 1.19) 1.57 (league 0.83)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.1% 25.3% 49.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
12.0%
1 - 1
12.0%
0 - 2
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Stade Tunisien
0 1 2 3 4 5
ES Sahel 0 7.7% 12.0% 9.4% 4.9% 1.9% 0.6%
1 7.7% 12.0% 9.4% 4.9% 1.9% 0.6%
2 3.8% 6.0% 4.7% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
3 1.3% 2.0% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricES SahelStade Tunisien
Played55
Form53%87%
Attack73%55%
Defense64%91%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.81 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric ES Sahel Stade Tunisien
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins33%25%29%100%33%71%
Draws0%50%29%0%67%29%
Loses67%25%43%0%0%0%

Form: ES Sahel: LLDWDLW • Stade Tunisien: DWDWWWW

League goals

Metric ES Sahel Stade Tunisien
HATHAT
GF total549538
GF avg1.71.01.31.31.01.1
GA total448022
GA avg1.31.01.10.00.70.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineES SahelStade Tunisien
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%57%86%29%
1.543%29%29%0%
2.514%29%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricES SahelStade Tunisien
HATHAT
Clean sheets123415
Failed to score112011

Penalties

MetricES SahelStade Tunisien
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricES SahelStade Tunisien
Wins11
Draws11
Losses20

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-22-01-2
Biggest losses2-33-1
Goals For3222
Goals Against3301

Model comparison

MetricES SahelStade Tunisien
Form38%62%
Att57%43%
Def20%80%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h29%71%
Goals42%58%
Total37.2%62.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Stade Tunisien

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.15 @ William Hill
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away4.48 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.60 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.36 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.75 @ Betfair
No1.46 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): ES Sahel = 1.00 (league 1.19), Stade Tunisien = 1.57 (league 0.83)

Stade Tunisien
0 1 2 3 4 5
ES Sahel 0 7.7% 12.0% 9.4% 4.9% 1.9% 0.6%
1 7.7% 12.0% 9.4% 4.9% 1.9% 0.6%
2 3.8% 6.0% 4.7% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
3 1.3% 2.0% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.1% · Draw 25.3% · Away win 49.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1