Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 14:00 • Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.52 (league 1.19) 0.36 (league 0.83)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.1% 24.9% 8.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
23.2%
2 - 0
17.6%
0 - 0
15.3%
Score & goals probability table
ES Sahel
0 1 2 3 4 5
ES Tunis 0 15.3% 5.5% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.2% 8.4% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.6% 6.4% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.9% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricES TunisES Sahel
Played55
Form80%53%
Attack75%75%
Defense92%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric ES Tunis ES Sahel
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins75%50%63%25%25%25%
Draws25%25%25%25%50%38%
Loses0%25%13%50%25%38%

Form: ES Tunis: DDWWLWWW • ES Sahel: LLDWDLWD

League goals

Metric ES Tunis ES Sahel
HATHAT
GF total77146410
GF avg1.81.81.81.51.01.3
GA total112549
GA avg0.30.30.31.31.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineES TunisES Sahel
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%25%75%63%
1.563%0%38%25%
2.525%0%13%25%
3.513%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricES TunisES Sahel
HATHAT
Clean sheets336123
Failed to score022112

Penalties

MetricES TunisES Sahel
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricES TunisES Sahel
Wins21
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-43-00-2
Biggest losses1-02-33-1
Goals For2432
Goals Against1133

Model comparison

MetricES TunisES Sahel
Form60%40%
Att50%50%
Def83%17%
Poisson Distribution85%15%
H2h100%0%
Goals85%15%
Total72.6%27.4%

Advice: Double chance : ES Tunis or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.45 @ 1xBet
Draw4.20 @ 1xBet
Away8.79 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.36 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.60 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.70 @ Unibet
No1.47 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): ES Tunis = 1.52 (league 1.19), ES Sahel = 0.36 (league 0.83)

ES Sahel
0 1 2 3 4 5
ES Tunis 0 15.3% 5.5% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.2% 8.4% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.6% 6.4% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.9% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.1% · Draw 24.9% · Away win 8.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1