Ligue 1 — Tunisia
Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 14:00 • Stade Hedi-Enneifer
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.90 (league 1.15) 1.14 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.8% 30.2% 40.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.8%
1 - 1
13.3%
0 - 0
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
ES Zarzis
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stade Tunisien 0 13.0% 14.8% 8.4% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2%
1 11.7% 13.3% 7.6% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
2 5.3% 6.0% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.6% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricStade TunisienES Zarzis
Played55
Form87%47%
Attack88%88%
Defense75%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Stade Tunisien ES Zarzis
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins100%25%63%25%100%63%
Draws0%75%38%25%0%13%
Loses0%0%0%50%0%25%

Form: Stade Tunisien: DWDWWWWD • ES Zarzis: WWWDWLWL

League goals

Metric Stade Tunisien ES Zarzis
HATHAT
GF total5493912
GF avg1.31.01.10.82.31.5
GA total033538
GA avg0.00.80.41.30.81.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineStade TunisienES Zarzis
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%38%88%75%
1.525%0%38%13%
2.50%0%13%13%
3.50%0%13%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricStade TunisienES Zarzis
HATHAT
Clean sheets415112
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricStade TunisienES Zarzis
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricStade TunisienES Zarzis
Wins43
Draws11
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-21-01-4
Biggest losses——1-3—
Goals For2214
Goals Against0131

Model comparison

MetricStade TunisienES Zarzis
Form65%35%
Att50%50%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h38%62%
Goals55%45%
Total56.6%43.4%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Stade Tunisien or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.00 @ 888Sport
Draw3.25 @ Unibet
Away4.15 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.75 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.45 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.31 @ Pinnacle
No1.60 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Stade Tunisien = 0.90 (league 1.15), ES Zarzis = 1.14 (league 0.81)

ES Zarzis
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stade Tunisien 0 13.0% 14.8% 8.4% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2%
1 11.7% 13.3% 7.6% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
2 5.3% 6.0% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.6% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.8% · Draw 30.2% · Away win 40.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1