Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 14:00 • Stade Abdelaziz Chtioui
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.55 (league 1.19) 0.29 (league 0.83)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.9% 50.4% 15.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
43.3%
1 - 0
23.7%
0 - 1
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
ES Metlaoui
0 1 2 3 4 5
AS Marsa 0 43.3% 12.5% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.7% 6.9% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 6.5% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAS MarsaES Metlaoui
Played55
Form40%33%
Attack73%18%
Defense45%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.62 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

46%
FT probability

2.5+

32%
FT probability

3.5+

23%
FT probability

BTTS

45%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AS Marsa ES Metlaoui
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins50%20%33%40%25%33%
Draws25%0%11%60%0%33%
Loses25%80%56%0%75%33%

Form: AS Marsa: LWLDLWLLW • ES Metlaoui: DWWLDLWLD

League goals

Metric AS Marsa ES Metlaoui
HATHAT
GF total2810415
GF avg0.51.61.10.80.30.6
GA total369257
GA avg0.81.21.00.41.30.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAS MarsaES Metlaoui
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%56%44%56%
1.511%33%11%22%
2.511%11%0%0%
3.511%0%0%0%
4.511%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAS MarsaES Metlaoui
HATHAT
Clean sheets314314
Failed to score224235

Penalties

MetricAS MarsaES Metlaoui
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricAS MarsaES Metlaoui
Wins12
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-62-10-1
Biggest losses0-32-12-0
Goals For1621
Goals Against3212

Model comparison

MetricAS MarsaES Metlaoui
Form55%45%
Att80%20%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h64%36%
Goals50%50%
Total60.3%39.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : AS Marsa or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.70 @ 1xBet
Draw3.65 @ Pinnacle
Away5.80 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.55 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.60 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.64 @ 1xBet
No1.61 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AS Marsa = 0.55 (league 1.19), ES Metlaoui = 0.29 (league 0.83)

ES Metlaoui
0 1 2 3 4 5
AS Marsa 0 43.3% 12.5% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.7% 6.9% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 6.5% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.9% · Draw 50.4% · Away win 15.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1