Ligue 1 — Tunisia
Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 13:30 • Metlaoui Municipal stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.25 (league 1.15) 0.20 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.4% 29.7% 5.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
29.4%
0 - 0
23.5%
2 - 0
18.4%
Score & goals probability table
AS Gabes
0 1 2 3 4 5
ES Metlaoui 0 23.5% 4.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 29.4% 5.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.4% 3.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.7% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricES MetlaouiAS Gabes
Played55
Form47%13%
Attack30%20%
Defense60%30%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.62 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

45%
FT probability

2.5+

32%
FT probability

3.5+

23%
FT probability

BTTS

48%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric ES Metlaoui AS Gabes
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins40%40%40%20%0%10%
Draws60%0%30%40%40%40%
Loses0%60%30%40%60%50%

Form: ES Metlaoui: DWWLDLWLDW • AS Gabes: DDWLLLDLLD

League goals

Metric ES Metlaoui AS Gabes
HATHAT
GF total426224
GF avg0.80.40.60.40.40.4
GA total2573912
GA avg0.41.00.70.61.81.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineES MetlaouiAS Gabes
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%50%30%70%
1.510%20%10%30%
2.50%0%0%20%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricES MetlaouiAS Gabes
HATHAT
Clean sheets325213
Failed to score235437

Penalties

MetricES MetlaouiAS Gabes
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricES MetlaouiAS Gabes
Wins21
Draws12
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-12-1—
Biggest losses—2-00-13-0
Goals For2121
Goals Against1213

Model comparison

MetricES MetlaouiAS Gabes
Form78%22%
Att60%40%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution88%12%
H2h60%40%
Goals56%44%
Total67.7%32.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : ES Metlaoui or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.70 @ Betano
Draw3.25 @ Pinnacle
Away6.19 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.88 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.44 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.70 @ Pinnacle
No1.48 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): ES Metlaoui = 1.25 (league 1.15), AS Gabes = 0.20 (league 0.81)

AS Gabes
0 1 2 3 4 5
ES Metlaoui 0 23.5% 4.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 29.4% 5.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.4% 3.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.7% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.4% · Draw 29.7% · Away win 5.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1