Ligue 1 — Tunisia
Wed, Oct 29 2025 • 13:30 • Stade Abdelaziz Chtioui
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.34 (league 1.16) 0.79 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
15.0% 41.5% 43.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
32.1%
0 - 1
25.4%
1 - 0
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
ES Sahel
0 1 2 3 4 5
AS Marsa 0 32.1% 25.4% 10.1% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 11.1% 8.8% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 1.9% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAS MarsaES Sahel
Played55
Form40%27%
Attack64%55%
Defense55%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

52%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

52%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AS Marsa ES Sahel
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins40%20%30%20%20%20%
Draws20%0%10%20%40%30%
Loses40%80%60%60%40%50%

Form: AS Marsa: LWLDLWLLWL • ES Sahel: LLDWDLWDLL

League goals

Metric AS Marsa ES Sahel
HATHAT
GF total28107411
GF avg0.41.61.01.40.81.1
GA total46107512
GA avg0.81.21.01.41.01.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAS MarsaES Sahel
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%60%70%70%
1.510%30%30%30%
2.510%10%10%20%
3.510%0%0%0%
4.510%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAS MarsaES Sahel
HATHAT
Clean sheets314123
Failed to score325123

Penalties

MetricAS MarsaES Sahel
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricAS MarsaES Sahel
Wins11
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-63-00-2
Biggest losses0-32-12-33-1
Goals For1632
Goals Against3233

Model comparison

MetricAS MarsaES Sahel
Form60%40%
Att54%46%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total52.0%48.0%

Advice: Double chance : AS Marsa or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.19 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.88 @ Bet365
Away2.75 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.90 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.44 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.22 @ Superbet
No1.68 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): AS Marsa = 0.34 (league 1.16), ES Sahel = 0.79 (league 0.81)

ES Sahel
0 1 2 3 4 5
AS Marsa 0 32.1% 25.4% 10.1% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 11.1% 8.8% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 1.9% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.0% · Draw 41.5% · Away win 43.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1