Ligue 1 — Tunisia
Wed, Oct 29 2025 • 13:30 • Stade Mustapha Ben Jannet
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.70 (league 1.15) 0.45 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.7% 22.4% 9.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.9%
2 - 0
16.9%
0 - 0
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
US Ben Guerdane
0 1 2 3 4 5
US Monastirienne 0 11.7% 5.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.9% 8.9% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.9% 7.5% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.6% 4.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.1% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUS MonastirienneUS Ben Guerdane
Played55
Form67%20%
Attack45%27%
Defense73%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

51%
FT probability

2.5+

36%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric US Monastirienne US Ben Guerdane
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins60%20%40%20%0%10%
Draws40%60%50%60%40%50%
Loses0%20%10%20%60%40%

Form: US Monastirienne: DDWDDWWDWL • US Ben Guerdane: WLDDLLDLDD

League goals

Metric US Monastirienne US Ben Guerdane
HATHAT
GF total7310336
GF avg1.40.61.00.60.60.6
GA total336279
GA avg0.60.60.60.41.40.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUS MonastirienneUS Ben Guerdane
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%50%50%70%
1.520%10%10%20%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUS MonastirienneUS Ben Guerdane
HATHAT
Clean sheets235303
Failed to score022325

Penalties

MetricUS MonastirienneUS Ben Guerdane
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricUS MonastirienneUS Ben Guerdane
Wins21
Draws22
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-12-0—
Biggest losses—2-10-12-0
Goals For2121
Goals Against1212

Model comparison

MetricUS MonastirienneUS Ben Guerdane
Form77%23%
Att63%38%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution83%17%
H2h50%50%
Goals54%46%
Total65.7%34.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : US Monastirienne or draw and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.61 @ 188Bet
Draw3.85 @ 10Bet
Away7.40 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.65 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.59 @ 188Bet
No1.55 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): US Monastirienne = 1.70 (league 1.15), US Ben Guerdane = 0.45 (league 0.81)

US Ben Guerdane
0 1 2 3 4 5
US Monastirienne 0 11.7% 5.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.9% 8.9% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.9% 7.5% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.6% 4.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.1% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.7% · Draw 22.4% · Away win 9.2%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1