Ligue 1 — Tunisia
Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 13:30 • Abdessalem Kazouz Stadium
Not Started
—
Expected Goals
0.63 (league 1.15) 1.88 (league 0.85)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
11.6% 21.0% 66.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.3%
0 - 2
14.4%
1 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
AS Marsa
0 1 2 3 4 5
ES Zarzis 0 8.1% 15.3% 14.4% 9.0% 4.2% 1.6%
1 5.1% 9.6% 9.0% 5.7% 2.7% 1.0%
2 1.6% 3.0% 2.8% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%
3 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricES ZarzisAS Marsa
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack73%64%
Defense36%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric ES Zarzis AS Marsa
HATHAT
Played56115510
Wins20%83%55%40%20%30%
Draws40%0%18%20%0%10%
Loses40%17%27%40%80%60%

Form: ES Zarzis: WWWDWLWLLDW • AS Marsa: LWLDLWLLWL

League goals

Metric ES Zarzis AS Marsa
HATHAT
GF total312152810
GF avg0.62.01.40.41.61.0
GA total56114610
GA avg1.01.01.00.81.21.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineES ZarzisAS Marsa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%64%50%60%
1.536%18%10%30%
2.518%18%10%10%
3.59%0%10%0%
4.50%0%10%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricES ZarzisAS Marsa
HATHAT
Clean sheets224314
Failed to score213325

Penalties

MetricES ZarzisAS Marsa
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricES ZarzisAS Marsa
Wins31
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-41-00-6
Biggest losses1-33-00-32-1
Goals For1416
Goals Against3332

Model comparison

MetricES ZarzisAS Marsa
Form54%46%
Att53%47%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution29%71%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total44.5%55.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or AS Marsa

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): ES Zarzis = 0.63 (league 1.15), AS Marsa = 1.88 (league 0.85)

AS Marsa
0 1 2 3 4 5
ES Zarzis 0 8.1% 15.3% 14.4% 9.0% 4.2% 1.6%
1 5.1% 9.6% 9.0% 5.7% 2.7% 1.0%
2 1.6% 3.0% 2.8% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%
3 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.6% · Draw 21.0% · Away win 66.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1