Ligue 1 — Tunisia
Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 13:30 • Abdessalem Kazouz Stadium
Match Abandoned
Expected Goals
0.63 (league 1.15) 1.98 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
10.7% 19.8% 67.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.6%
0 - 2
14.5%
0 - 3
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
AS Marsa
0 1 2 3 4 5
ES Zarzis 0 7.4% 14.6% 14.5% 9.6% 4.7% 1.9%
1 4.6% 9.1% 9.1% 6.0% 3.0% 1.2%
2 1.4% 2.9% 2.8% 1.9% 0.9% 0.4%
3 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricES ZarzisAS Marsa
Played55
Form47%20%
Attack80%60%
Defense30%30%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric ES Zarzis AS Marsa
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins20%83%55%33%20%27%
Draws40%0%18%17%0%9%
Loses40%17%27%50%80%64%

Form: ES Zarzis: WWWDWLWLLDW • AS Marsa: LWLDLWLLWLL

League goals

Metric ES Zarzis AS Marsa
HATHAT
GF total312152810
GF avg0.62.01.40.31.60.9
GA total56116612
GA avg1.01.01.01.01.21.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineES ZarzisAS Marsa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%64%45%64%
1.536%18%9%36%
2.518%18%9%9%
3.59%0%9%0%
4.50%0%9%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricES ZarzisAS Marsa
HATHAT
Clean sheets224314
Failed to score213426

Penalties

MetricES ZarzisAS Marsa
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricES ZarzisAS Marsa
Wins31
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-41-00-6
Biggest losses1-33-00-32-1
Goals For1416
Goals Against3332

Model comparison

MetricES ZarzisAS Marsa
Form70%30%
Att57%43%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution28%72%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total51.3%48.8%

Advice: Double chance : ES Zarzis or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.80 @ William Hill
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away5.05 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.53 @ Pinnacle
No1.55 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.76 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.43 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): ES Zarzis = 0.63 (league 1.15), AS Marsa = 1.98 (league 0.81)

AS Marsa
0 1 2 3 4 5
ES Zarzis 0 7.4% 14.6% 14.5% 9.6% 4.7% 1.9%
1 4.6% 9.1% 9.1% 6.0% 3.0% 1.2%
2 1.4% 2.9% 2.8% 1.9% 0.9% 0.4%
3 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.7% · Draw 19.8% · Away win 67.9%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1