Ligue 1 — Tunisia
Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 13:30 • Stade Olympique de Sousse
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.22 (league 1.15) 0.69 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.5% 30.2% 21.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.0%
0 - 0
14.8%
1 - 1
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
ES Metlaoui
0 1 2 3 4 5
ES Sahel 0 14.8% 10.3% 3.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.0% 12.5% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.0% 7.6% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.4% 3.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricES SahelES Metlaoui
Played55
Form47%67%
Attack100%100%
Defense0%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

55%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric ES Sahel ES Metlaoui
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins20%33%27%50%40%45%
Draws20%33%27%50%0%27%
Loses60%33%45%0%60%27%

Form: ES Sahel: LLDWDLWDLLW • ES Metlaoui: DWWLDLWLDWW

League goals

Metric ES Sahel ES Metlaoui
HATHAT
GF total7613527
GF avg1.41.01.20.80.40.6
GA total7512257
GA avg1.40.81.10.31.00.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineES SahelES Metlaoui
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%64%55%45%
1.536%27%9%18%
2.59%18%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricES SahelES Metlaoui
HATHAT
Clean sheets134426
Failed to score123235

Penalties

MetricES SahelES Metlaoui
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricES SahelES Metlaoui
Wins12
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-22-10-1
Biggest losses2-33-1—2-0
Goals For3221
Goals Against3312

Model comparison

MetricES SahelES Metlaoui
Form41%59%
Att60%40%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h75%25%
Goals64%36%
Total57.0%43.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : ES Sahel or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.53 @ William Hill
Draw3.51 @ Pinnacle
Away7.90 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.78 @ Marathonbet
No1.44 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.67 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): ES Sahel = 1.22 (league 1.15), ES Metlaoui = 0.69 (league 0.81)

ES Metlaoui
0 1 2 3 4 5
ES Sahel 0 14.8% 10.3% 3.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.0% 12.5% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.0% 7.6% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.4% 3.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.5% · Draw 30.2% · Away win 21.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1