Ligue 1 — Tunisia
Wed, Nov 5 2025 • 13:30 • Stade Abdelaziz Chtioui
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.18 (league 1.15) 0.25 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
13.3% 68.0% 18.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
65.0%
0 - 1
16.1%
1 - 0
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
CA Bizertin
0 1 2 3 4 5
AS Marsa 0 65.0% 16.1% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.9% 2.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAS MarsaCA Bizertin
Played55
Form20%47%
Attack60%40%
Defense30%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

41%
FT probability

2.5+

29%
FT probability

3.5+

20%
FT probability

BTTS

41%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AS Marsa CA Bizertin
HATHAT
Played65116612
Wins33%20%27%50%17%33%
Draws17%0%9%17%33%25%
Loses50%80%64%33%50%42%

Form: AS Marsa: LWLDLWLLWLL • CA Bizertin: DDLLWWLWDLLW

League goals

Metric AS Marsa CA Bizertin
HATHAT
GF total2810819
GF avg0.31.60.91.30.20.8
GA total6612448
GA avg1.01.21.10.70.70.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAS MarsaCA Bizertin
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.545%64%42%50%
1.59%36%17%17%
2.59%9%17%0%
3.59%0%0%0%
4.59%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAS MarsaCA Bizertin
HATHAT
Clean sheets314336
Failed to score426257

Penalties

MetricAS MarsaCA Bizertin
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricAS MarsaCA Bizertin
Wins12
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-63-00-1
Biggest losses0-32-10-22-0
Goals For1631
Goals Against3222

Model comparison

MetricAS MarsaCA Bizertin
Form30%70%
Att60%40%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h20%80%
Goals33%67%
Total38.7%61.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or CA Bizertin and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.60 @ Unibet
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away3.30 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.05 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.40 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.42 @ 188Bet
No1.58 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AS Marsa = 0.18 (league 1.15), CA Bizertin = 0.25 (league 0.81)

CA Bizertin
0 1 2 3 4 5
AS Marsa 0 65.0% 16.1% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.9% 2.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.3% · Draw 68.0% · Away win 18.7%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1