Ligue 1 — Tunisia
Wed, Nov 5 2025 • 13:30 • Stade Olympique de Sousse
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.30 (league 1.15) 2.97 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
13.6% 14.9% 63.2%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.0%
1 - 3
7.9%
0 - 2
6.1%
Score & goals probability table
ES Zarzis
0 1 2 3 4 5
ES Sahel 0 1.4% 4.1% 6.1% 6.1% 4.5% 2.7%
1 1.8% 5.4% 8.0% 7.9% 5.9% 3.5%
2 1.2% 3.5% 5.2% 5.2% 3.8% 2.3%
3 0.5% 1.5% 2.3% 2.2% 1.7% 1.0%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricES SahelES Zarzis
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack60%80%
Defense60%30%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric ES Sahel ES Zarzis
HATHAT
Played66125611
Wins33%33%33%20%83%55%
Draws17%33%25%40%0%18%
Loses50%33%42%40%17%27%

Form: ES Sahel: LLDWDLWDLLWW • ES Zarzis: WWWDWLWLLDW

League goals

Metric ES Sahel ES Zarzis
HATHAT
GF total961531215
GF avg1.51.01.30.62.01.4
GA total75125611
GA avg1.20.81.01.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineES SahelES Zarzis
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%58%73%64%
1.542%25%36%18%
2.58%17%18%18%
3.50%0%9%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricES SahelES Zarzis
HATHAT
Clean sheets235224
Failed to score123213

Penalties

MetricES SahelES Zarzis
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricES SahelES Zarzis
Wins13
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-21-01-4
Biggest losses2-33-11-33-0
Goals For3214
Goals Against3333

Model comparison

MetricES SahelES Zarzis
Form50%50%
Att43%57%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h50%50%
Goals58%42%
Total50.0%50.0%

Advice: Double chance : ES Sahel or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.22 @ Betano
Draw3.40 @ Unibet
Away4.20 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.67 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.53 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.48 @ 188Bet
No1.62 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): ES Sahel = 1.30 (league 1.15), ES Zarzis = 2.97 (league 0.81)

ES Zarzis
0 1 2 3 4 5
ES Sahel 0 1.4% 4.1% 6.1% 6.1% 4.5% 2.7%
1 1.8% 5.4% 8.0% 7.9% 5.9% 3.5%
2 1.2% 3.5% 5.2% 5.2% 3.8% 2.3%
3 0.5% 1.5% 2.3% 2.2% 1.7% 1.0%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.6% · Draw 14.9% · Away win 63.2%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1