Ligue 1 — Tunisia
Wed, Nov 5 2025 • 13:30 • Metlaoui Municipal stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.49 (league 1.15) 0.26 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.5% 53.6% 15.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
47.4%
1 - 0
23.1%
0 - 1
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
US Monastirienne
0 1 2 3 4 5
ES Metlaoui 0 47.4% 12.3% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.1% 6.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 5.6% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricES MetlaouiUS Monastirienne
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack30%40%
Defense60%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

39%
FT probability

2.5+

27%
FT probability

3.5+

19%
FT probability

BTTS

50%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric ES Metlaoui US Monastirienne
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins50%33%42%50%17%33%
Draws50%0%25%50%67%58%
Loses0%67%33%0%17%8%

Form: ES Metlaoui: DWWLDLWLDWWL • US Monastirienne: DDWDDWWDWLDD

League goals

Metric ES Metlaoui US Monastirienne
HATHAT
GF total5277411
GF avg0.80.30.61.20.70.9
GA total279347
GA avg0.31.20.80.50.70.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineES MetlaouiUS Monastirienne
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%50%75%50%
1.58%25%17%8%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricES MetlaouiUS Monastirienne
HATHAT
Clean sheets426336
Failed to score246123

Penalties

MetricES MetlaouiUS Monastirienne
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricES MetlaouiUS Monastirienne
Wins22
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-12-00-1
Biggest losses—2-0—2-1
Goals For2121
Goals Against1212

Model comparison

MetricES MetlaouiUS Monastirienne
Form54%46%
Att43%57%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h25%75%
Goals36%64%
Total46.0%54.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or US Monastirienne and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.35 @ 188Bet
Draw2.80 @ Bet365
Away2.89 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.20 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.36 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.51 @ 188Bet
No1.55 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): ES Metlaoui = 0.49 (league 1.15), US Monastirienne = 0.26 (league 0.81)

US Monastirienne
0 1 2 3 4 5
ES Metlaoui 0 47.4% 12.3% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.1% 6.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 5.6% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.5% · Draw 53.6% · Away win 15.0%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1