Ligue 1 — Tunisia
Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 13:30 • Stade du 15 Octobre
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.90 (league 1.15) 0.87 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.4% 33.2% 32.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
17.0%
1 - 0
15.4%
0 - 1
14.8%
Score & goals probability table
ES Sahel
0 1 2 3 4 5
CA Bizertin 0 17.0% 14.8% 6.4% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.4% 13.3% 5.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 6.9% 6.0% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.1% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCA BizertinES Sahel
Played55
Form27%60%
Attack30%60%
Defense40%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

53%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

53%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric CA Bizertin ES Sahel
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins50%14%31%43%33%38%
Draws17%29%23%14%33%23%
Loses33%57%46%43%33%38%

Form: CA Bizertin: DDLLWWLWDLLWL • ES Sahel: LLDWDLWDLLWWW

League goals

Metric CA Bizertin ES Sahel
HATHAT
GF total81910616
GF avg1.30.10.71.41.01.2
GA total46107512
GA avg0.70.90.81.00.80.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCA BizertinES Sahel
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.538%54%77%54%
1.515%23%38%23%
2.515%0%8%15%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCA BizertinES Sahel
HATHAT
Clean sheets336336
Failed to score268123

Penalties

MetricCA BizertinES Sahel
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricCA BizertinES Sahel
Wins21
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-13-00-2
Biggest losses0-22-02-33-1
Goals For3132
Goals Against2233

Model comparison

MetricCA BizertinES Sahel
Form31%69%
Att33%67%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h20%80%
Goals31%69%
Total34.2%65.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or ES Sahel and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.10 @ 10Bet
Draw2.88 @ Bet365
Away2.72 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.03 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.40 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.34 @ Pinnacle
No1.60 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): CA Bizertin = 0.90 (league 1.15), ES Sahel = 0.87 (league 0.81)

ES Sahel
0 1 2 3 4 5
CA Bizertin 0 17.0% 14.8% 6.4% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.4% 13.3% 5.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 6.9% 6.0% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.1% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.4% · Draw 33.2% · Away win 32.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1