Ligue 1 — Tunisia
Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 13:30 • Stade Taïeb Mhiri
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.35 (league 1.15) 1.59 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.4% 24.4% 42.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.4%
1 - 2
9.0%
0 - 1
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
AS Marsa
0 1 2 3 4 5
CS Sfaxien 0 5.3% 8.4% 6.6% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4%
1 7.2% 11.4% 9.0% 4.8% 1.9% 0.6%
2 4.9% 7.7% 6.1% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4%
3 2.2% 3.5% 2.8% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.7% 1.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCS SfaxienAS Marsa
Played55
Form67%40%
Attack70%80%
Defense80%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric CS Sfaxien AS Marsa
HATHAT
Played67137512
Wins50%29%38%43%20%33%
Draws17%57%38%14%0%8%
Loses33%14%23%43%80%58%

Form: CS Sfaxien: LDLWDWDDWWDLW • AS Marsa: LWLDLWLLWLLW

League goals

Metric CS Sfaxien AS Marsa
HATHAT
GF total87154812
GF avg1.31.01.20.61.61.0
GA total5496612
GA avg0.80.60.70.91.21.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCS SfaxienAS Marsa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%46%50%58%
1.531%23%17%33%
2.58%0%8%8%
3.50%0%8%0%
4.50%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCS SfaxienAS Marsa
HATHAT
Clean sheets347415
Failed to score123426

Penalties

MetricCS SfaxienAS Marsa
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricCS SfaxienAS Marsa
Wins21
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-32-00-6
Biggest losses1-22-10-32-1
Goals For2326
Goals Against2232

Model comparison

MetricCS SfaxienAS Marsa
Form63%38%
Att47%53%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h75%25%
Goals86%14%
Total65.8%34.3%

Advice: Double chance : CS Sfaxien or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.67 @ Unibet
Draw3.40 @ William Hill
Away6.65 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.00 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.38 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.88 @ William Hill
No1.44 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): CS Sfaxien = 1.35 (league 1.15), AS Marsa = 1.59 (league 0.81)

AS Marsa
0 1 2 3 4 5
CS Sfaxien 0 5.3% 8.4% 6.6% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4%
1 7.2% 11.4% 9.0% 4.8% 1.9% 0.6%
2 4.9% 7.7% 6.1% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4%
3 2.2% 3.5% 2.8% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.7% 1.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.4% · Draw 24.4% · Away win 42.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1