Ligue 1 — Tunisia
Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 13:30 • Metlaoui Municipal stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.87 (league 1.15) 1.26 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.5% 28.9% 45.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.0%
1 - 1
13.0%
0 - 0
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
ES Zarzis
0 1 2 3 4 5
ES Metlaoui 0 11.9% 15.0% 9.5% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3%
1 10.3% 13.0% 8.2% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
2 4.5% 5.7% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.3% 1.6% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricES MetlaouiES Zarzis
Played55
Form53%27%
Attack63%50%
Defense38%13%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

58%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric ES Metlaoui ES Zarzis
HATHAT
Played76135712
Wins43%33%38%20%71%50%
Draws57%0%31%40%0%17%
Loses0%67%31%40%29%33%

Form: ES Metlaoui: DWWLDLWLDWWLD • ES Zarzis: WWWDWLWLLDWL

League goals

Metric ES Metlaoui ES Zarzis
HATHAT
GF total72931215
GF avg1.00.30.70.61.71.3
GA total47115712
GA avg0.61.20.81.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineES MetlaouiES Zarzis
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.554%54%67%67%
1.515%31%33%17%
2.50%0%17%17%
3.50%0%8%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricES MetlaouiES Zarzis
HATHAT
Clean sheets426224
Failed to score246224

Penalties

MetricES MetlaouiES Zarzis
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricES MetlaouiES Zarzis
Wins23
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-11-01-4
Biggest losses—2-01-33-0
Goals For2114
Goals Against2233

Model comparison

MetricES MetlaouiES Zarzis
Form67%33%
Att56%44%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h50%50%
Goals43%57%
Total53.0%47.0%

Advice: Double chance : ES Metlaoui or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.67 @ Betano
Draw2.92 @ Superbet
Away3.31 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.70 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.37 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.70 @ Unibet
No1.54 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): ES Metlaoui = 0.87 (league 1.15), ES Zarzis = 1.26 (league 0.81)

ES Zarzis
0 1 2 3 4 5
ES Metlaoui 0 11.9% 15.0% 9.5% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3%
1 10.3% 13.0% 8.2% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
2 4.5% 5.7% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.3% 1.6% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.5% · Draw 28.9% · Away win 45.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1