Ligue 1 — Tunisia
Wed, Nov 26 2025 • 13:00 • Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi
Match Postponed
Expected Goals
1.72 (league 1.16) 0.07 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
79.0% 18.7% 1.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
28.5%
2 - 0
24.6%
0 - 0
16.6%
Score & goals probability table
US Ben Guerdane
0 1 2 3 4 5
ES Tunis 0 16.6% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 28.5% 2.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 24.6% 1.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.1% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricES TunisUS Ben Guerdane
Played55
Form73%73%
Attack67%42%
Defense92%92%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.21 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

49%
FT probability

2.5+

34%
FT probability

3.5+

24%
FT probability

BTTS

51%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric ES Tunis US Ben Guerdane
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins86%43%64%43%14%29%
Draws14%43%29%43%43%43%
Loses0%14%7%14%43%29%

Form: ES Tunis: DDWWLWWWWDWWWD • US Ben Guerdane: WLDDLLDLDDDWWW

League goals

Metric ES Tunis US Ben Guerdane
HATHAT
GF total149236410
GF avg2.01.31.60.90.60.7
GA total123279
GA avg0.10.30.20.31.00.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineES TunisUS Ben Guerdane
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%21%57%50%
1.557%0%14%14%
2.521%0%0%0%
3.514%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricES TunisUS Ben Guerdane
HATHAT
Clean sheets6511527
Failed to score044336

Penalties

MetricES TunisUS Ben Guerdane
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricES TunisUS Ben Guerdane
Wins41
Draws23
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-42-00-1
Biggest losses—1-00-12-0
Goals For4421
Goals Against1112

Model comparison

MetricES TunisUS Ben Guerdane
Form50%50%
Att62%38%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution95%5%
H2h85%15%
Goals75%25%
Total69.5%30.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : ES Tunis or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): ES Tunis = 1.72 (league 1.16), US Ben Guerdane = 0.07 (league 0.81)

US Ben Guerdane
0 1 2 3 4 5
ES Tunis 0 16.6% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 28.5% 2.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 24.6% 1.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.1% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 79.0% · Draw 18.7% · Away win 1.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1