Super League — Zambia
Thu, Mar 5 2026 • 13:00 • Arthur Davies Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.84 (league 1.04) 0.58 (league 0.72)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.1% 37.3% 23.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
24.0%
1 - 0
20.3%
0 - 1
14.0%
Score & goals probability table
ZESCO United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mutondo Stars 0 24.0% 14.0% 4.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.3% 11.8% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.6% 5.0% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMutondo StarsZESCO United
Played55
Form60%40%
Attack40%33%
Defense80%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

49%
FT probability

2.5+

34%
FT probability

3.5+

24%
FT probability

BTTS

53%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mutondo Stars ZESCO United
HATHAT
Played11102191019
Wins36%0%19%56%20%37%
Draws36%50%43%22%20%21%
Loses27%50%38%22%60%42%

Form: Mutondo Stars: LLLWDWDLLLDDDLLDDDWDW • ZESCO United: WDWWLLLDLWDWDLWWLLL

League goals

Metric Mutondo Stars ZESCO United
HATHAT
GF total931216622
GF avg0.80.30.61.80.61.2
GA total8132151116
GA avg0.71.31.00.61.10.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMutondo StarsZESCO United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.548%62%63%58%
1.510%33%26%21%
2.50%5%16%5%
3.50%0%5%0%
4.50%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMutondo StarsZESCO United
HATHAT
Clean sheets628538
Failed to score4711257

Penalties

MetricMutondo StarsZESCO United
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMutondo StarsZESCO United
Wins12
Draws31
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—5-01-2
Biggest losses0-23-01-23-1
Goals For2152
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricMutondo StarsZESCO United
Form60%40%
Att55%45%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h29%71%
Goals22%78%
Total49.0%51.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Mutondo Stars or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.41 @ 1xBet
Draw2.63 @ Betfair
Away2.45 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.40 @ Betfair
No1.50 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.15 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.33 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mutondo Stars = 0.84 (league 1.04), ZESCO United = 0.58 (league 0.72)

ZESCO United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mutondo Stars 0 24.0% 14.0% 4.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.3% 11.8% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.6% 5.0% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.1% · Draw 37.3% · Away win 23.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1