Super League
— Zambia
Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 13:00 •
Nchanga Stadium
Expected Goals
1.36 (league 1.03)
0.24 (league 0.77)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 66.2% | 27.3% | 6.2% |
best score tips
1 - 0
27.6%
0 - 0
20.2%
2 - 0
18.8%
Score & goals probability table
| NAPSA Stars | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nchanga Rangers | 0 | 20.2% | 4.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 27.6% | 6.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 18.8% | 4.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.5% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Nchanga Rangers | NAPSA Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 40% |
| Attack | 100% | 50% |
| Defense | 25% | 25% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
41%
FT probability
2.5+
29%
FT probability
3.5+
21%
FT probability
BTTS
39%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Nchanga Rangers | NAPSA Stars | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 100% | 67% | 80% | 33% | 0% | 17% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 67% | 50% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 20% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
Form: Nchanga Rangers: WWWLW • NAPSA Stars: LDDLWD
League goals
| Metric | Nchanga Rangers | NAPSA Stars | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 |
| GA total | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Nchanga Rangers | NAPSA Stars | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 60% | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Nchanga Rangers | NAPSA Stars | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Nchanga Rangers | NAPSA Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Nchanga Rangers | NAPSA Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-2 | 1-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Nchanga Rangers | NAPSA Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 78% | 22% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 25% | 75% |
| Goals | 14% | 86% |
| Total | 46.8% | 53.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Nchanga Rangers or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Nchanga Rangers = 1.36 (league 1.03), NAPSA Stars = 0.24 (league 0.77)
| NAPSA Stars | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nchanga Rangers | 0 | 20.2% | 4.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 27.6% | 6.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 18.8% | 4.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.5% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.2% · Draw 27.3% · Away win 6.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1