Super League
— Zambia
Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 13:00 •
REIZ Arena
Expected Goals
0.14 (league 1.03)
1.31 (league 0.77)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 3.8% | 28.0% | 68.0% |
best score tips
0 - 1
30.9%
0 - 0
23.6%
0 - 2
20.2%
Score & goals probability table
| ZESCO United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| NAPSA Stars | 0 | 23.6% | 30.9% | 20.2% | 8.8% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 3.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | NAPSA Stars | ZESCO United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 73% |
| Attack | 27% | 91% |
| Defense | 64% | 91% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 1 | 0.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
44%
FT probability
2.5+
31%
FT probability
3.5+
22%
FT probability
BTTS
50%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | NAPSA Stars | ZESCO United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Wins | 33% | 0% | 14% | 50% | 100% | 60% |
| Draws | 33% | 75% | 57% | 50% | 0% | 40% |
| Loses | 33% | 25% | 29% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: NAPSA Stars: LDDLWDD • ZESCO United: DWDWW
League goals
| Metric | NAPSA Stars | ZESCO United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 10 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | NAPSA Stars | ZESCO United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 43% | 57% | 80% | 20% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 29% | 40% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 40% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 20% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 20% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | NAPSA Stars | ZESCO United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | NAPSA Stars | ZESCO United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | NAPSA Stars | ZESCO United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | — | 5-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-0 | — | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | NAPSA Stars | ZESCO United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 35% | 65% |
| Att | 23% | 77% |
| Def | 20% | 80% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 7% | 93% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 21.3% | 78.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or ZESCO United and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): NAPSA Stars = 0.14 (league 1.03), ZESCO United = 1.31 (league 0.77)
| ZESCO United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| NAPSA Stars | 0 | 23.6% | 30.9% | 20.2% | 8.8% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 3.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 3.8% · Draw 28.0% · Away win 68.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1