Super League — Zambia
Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 13:00 • Arthur Davies Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.97 (league 1.03) 0.97 (league 0.72)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.3% 31.4% 34.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
14.3%
1 - 0
13.9%
0 - 1
13.9%
Score & goals probability table
Kabwe Warriors
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mutondo Stars 0 14.3% 13.9% 6.8% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
1 13.9% 13.5% 6.6% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 6.8% 6.6% 3.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
3 2.2% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMutondo StarsKabwe Warriors
Played55
Form53%67%
Attack27%45%
Defense82%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

37%
FT probability

2.5+

26%
FT probability

3.5+

19%
FT probability

BTTS

39%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mutondo Stars Kabwe Warriors
HATHAT
Played257437
Wins100%0%29%75%0%43%
Draws0%40%29%25%67%43%
Loses0%60%43%0%33%14%

Form: Mutondo Stars: LLLWDWD • Kabwe Warriors: DDDWWLW

League goals

Metric Mutondo Stars Kabwe Warriors
HATHAT
GF total213325
GF avg1.00.20.40.80.70.7
GA total077033
GA avg0.01.41.00.01.00.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMutondo StarsKabwe Warriors
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.543%57%57%14%
1.50%29%14%14%
2.50%14%0%14%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMutondo StarsKabwe Warriors
HATHAT
Clean sheets213426
Failed to score044123

Penalties

MetricMutondo StarsKabwe Warriors
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMutondo StarsKabwe Warriors
Wins12
Draws13
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0—1-0—
Biggest losses—3-0—3-2
Goals For1112
Goals Against0303

Model comparison

MetricMutondo StarsKabwe Warriors
Form44%56%
Att38%63%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h50%50%
Goals60%40%
Total50.4%49.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Mutondo Stars or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.50 @ Unibet
Draw2.73 @ Marathonbet
Away2.30 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.30 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.30 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.52 @ Superbet
No1.47 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mutondo Stars = 0.97 (league 1.03), Kabwe Warriors = 0.97 (league 0.72)

Kabwe Warriors
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mutondo Stars 0 14.3% 13.9% 6.8% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
1 13.9% 13.5% 6.6% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 6.8% 6.6% 3.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
3 2.2% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.3% · Draw 31.4% · Away win 34.2%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1