Super League — Zambia
Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 13:00 • Edwin Imboela Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.97 (league 1.03) 0.92 (league 0.76)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.4% 31.9% 32.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
15.1%
1 - 0
14.7%
0 - 1
13.8%
Score & goals probability table
Nchanga Rangers
0 1 2 3 4 5
Green Buffaloes 0 15.1% 13.8% 6.4% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.7% 13.5% 6.2% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 7.1% 6.6% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.3% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGreen BuffaloesNchanga Rangers
Played55
Form33%67%
Attack21%43%
Defense79%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Green Buffaloes Nchanga Rangers
HATHAT
Played347336
Wins33%25%29%67%67%67%
Draws33%25%29%33%0%17%
Loses33%50%43%0%33%17%

Form: Green Buffaloes: WLLWLDD • Nchanga Rangers: WWWLWD

League goals

Metric Green Buffaloes Nchanga Rangers
HATHAT
GF total336538
GF avg1.00.80.91.71.01.3
GA total246134
GA avg0.71.00.90.31.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGreen BuffaloesNchanga Rangers
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%71%83%50%
1.529%14%50%17%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGreen BuffaloesNchanga Rangers
HATHAT
Clean sheets202213
Failed to score123011

Penalties

MetricGreen BuffaloesNchanga Rangers
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricGreen BuffaloesNchanga Rangers
Wins13
Draws00
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-22-01-2
Biggest losses1-21-0—2-0
Goals For2222
Goals Against2112

Model comparison

MetricGreen BuffaloesNchanga Rangers
Form33%67%
Att33%67%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h64%36%
Goals100%0%
Total48.0%52.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Green Buffaloes or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.62 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.83 @ Marathonbet
Away3.98 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.95 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.40 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.30 @ Marathonbet
No1.54 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Green Buffaloes = 0.97 (league 1.03), Nchanga Rangers = 0.92 (league 0.76)

Nchanga Rangers
0 1 2 3 4 5
Green Buffaloes 0 15.1% 13.8% 6.4% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.7% 13.5% 6.2% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 7.1% 6.6% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.3% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.4% · Draw 31.9% · Away win 32.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1