Super League — Zambia
Wed, Dec 17 2025 • 13:00 • Levy Mwanawasa Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.87 (league 1.03) 0.66 (league 0.72)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
65.0% 21.3% 12.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.8%
2 - 0
13.9%
1 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Nchanga Rangers
0 1 2 3 4 5
ZESCO United 0 7.9% 5.3% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.8% 9.8% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.9% 9.2% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.7% 5.7% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.0% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricZESCO UnitedNchanga Rangers
Played55
Form27%67%
Attack31%38%
Defense62%85%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 12 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric ZESCO United Nchanga Rangers
HATHAT
Played55107613
Wins60%20%40%57%50%54%
Draws20%20%20%29%17%23%
Loses20%60%40%14%33%23%

Form: ZESCO United: WDWWLLLDLW • Nchanga Rangers: WWWLWDDLWLWWD

League goals

Metric ZESCO United Nchanga Rangers
HATHAT
GF total122149514
GF avg2.40.41.41.30.81.1
GA total347358
GA avg0.60.80.70.40.80.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineZESCO UnitedNchanga Rangers
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%60%77%54%
1.530%10%31%8%
2.530%0%0%0%
3.510%0%0%0%
4.510%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricZESCO UnitedNchanga Rangers
HATHAT
Clean sheets224426
Failed to score134123

Penalties

MetricZESCO UnitedNchanga Rangers
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricZESCO UnitedNchanga Rangers
Wins23
Draws12
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-12-01-2
Biggest losses0-12-10-12-0
Goals For5122
Goals Against1212

Model comparison

MetricZESCO UnitedNchanga Rangers
Form29%71%
Att44%56%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h93%7%
Goals76%24%
Total57.3%42.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : ZESCO United or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.93 @ Betano
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away5.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.40 @ William Hill
No1.52 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.75 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): ZESCO United = 1.87 (league 1.03), Nchanga Rangers = 0.66 (league 0.72)

Nchanga Rangers
0 1 2 3 4 5
ZESCO United 0 7.9% 5.3% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.8% 9.8% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.9% 9.2% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.7% 5.7% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.0% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.0% · Draw 21.3% · Away win 12.5%

vtt 2 , vtd1