Super League — Zambia
Fri, Nov 21 2025 • 13:00 • REIZ Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.78 (league 1.03) 0.67 (league 0.72)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.6% 37.5% 27.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
23.5%
1 - 0
18.3%
0 - 1
15.7%
Score & goals probability table
Nkwazi
0 1 2 3 4 5
NAPSA Stars 0 23.5% 15.7% 5.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.3% 12.2% 4.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 7.1% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNAPSA StarsNkwazi
Played55
Form33%40%
Attack100%100%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

46%
FT probability

2.5+

32%
FT probability

3.5+

23%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric NAPSA Stars Nkwazi
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins40%0%18%17%0%9%
Draws40%50%45%50%60%55%
Loses20%50%36%33%40%36%

Form: NAPSA Stars: LDDLWDDDLWL • Nkwazi: LDDDLLDDDLW

League goals

Metric NAPSA Stars Nkwazi
HATHAT
GF total437437
GF avg0.80.50.60.70.60.6
GA total48125510
GA avg0.81.31.10.81.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNAPSA StarsNkwazi
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.555%64%55%82%
1.59%36%9%9%
2.50%9%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNAPSA StarsNkwazi
HATHAT
Clean sheets224202
Failed to score145325

Penalties

MetricNAPSA StarsNkwazi
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNAPSA StarsNkwazi
Wins10
Draws33
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0—2-1—
Biggest losses0-22-01-21-0
Goals For1221
Goals Against2321

Model comparison

MetricNAPSA StarsNkwazi
Form45%55%
Att56%44%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h71%29%
Goals67%33%
Total54.7%45.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : NAPSA Stars or draw and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.75 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.75 @ William Hill
Away3.10 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.50 @ William Hill
No1.45 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.25 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.33 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): NAPSA Stars = 0.78 (league 1.03), Nkwazi = 0.67 (league 0.72)

Nkwazi
0 1 2 3 4 5
NAPSA Stars 0 23.5% 15.7% 5.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.3% 12.2% 4.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 7.1% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.6% · Draw 37.5% · Away win 27.9%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1