Super League — Zambia
Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 13:00 • Nkana Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.51 (league 1.02) 0.55 (league 0.73)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.1% 45.2% 28.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
34.8%
0 - 1
19.0%
1 - 0
17.7%
Score & goals probability table
NAPSA Stars
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nkana 0 34.8% 19.0% 5.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.7% 9.7% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 4.5% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNkanaNAPSA Stars
Played55
Form13%33%
Attack13%27%
Defense47%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

42%
FT probability

2.5+

30%
FT probability

3.5+

21%
FT probability

BTTS

49%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nkana NAPSA Stars
HATHAT
Played56116612
Wins0%0%0%33%0%17%
Draws60%50%55%50%50%50%
Loses40%50%45%17%50%33%

Form: Nkana: DDLLDDLLLDD • NAPSA Stars: LDDLWDDDLWLD

League goals

Metric Nkana NAPSA Stars
HATHAT
GF total213437
GF avg0.40.20.30.70.50.6
GA total47114812
GA avg0.81.21.00.71.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNkanaNAPSA Stars
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.527%73%50%58%
1.50%18%8%33%
2.50%9%0%8%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNkanaNAPSA Stars
HATHAT
Clean sheets123325
Failed to score358246

Penalties

MetricNkanaNAPSA Stars
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNkanaNAPSA Stars
Wins01
Draws23
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——1-0—
Biggest losses0-13-00-22-0
Goals For1112
Goals Against1323

Model comparison

MetricNkanaNAPSA Stars
Form29%71%
Att33%67%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total42.2%57.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or NAPSA Stars and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.06 @ Unibet
Draw2.80 @ Bet365
Away4.25 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.30 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.60 @ Unibet
No1.44 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nkana = 0.51 (league 1.02), NAPSA Stars = 0.55 (league 0.73)

NAPSA Stars
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nkana 0 34.8% 19.0% 5.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.7% 9.7% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 4.5% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.1% · Draw 45.2% · Away win 28.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1