Super League — Zambia
Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 13:00 • Arthur Davies Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.55 (league 1.02) 0.88 (league 0.73)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.7% 37.1% 41.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
24.1%
0 - 1
21.1%
1 - 0
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
Mufulira Wanderers
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mutondo Stars 0 24.1% 21.1% 9.2% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.2% 11.6% 5.1% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 3.6% 3.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMutondo StarsMufulira Wanderers
Played55
Form13%47%
Attack20%27%
Defense53%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

44%
FT probability

2.5+

31%
FT probability

3.5+

22%
FT probability

BTTS

51%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mutondo Stars Mufulira Wanderers
HATHAT
Played57126612
Wins40%0%17%17%67%42%
Draws20%43%33%50%0%25%
Loses40%57%50%33%33%33%

Form: Mutondo Stars: LLLWDWDLLLDD • Mufulira Wanderers: WDLLWDWDWLLW

League goals

Metric Mutondo Stars Mufulira Wanderers
HATHAT
GF total426358
GF avg0.80.30.50.50.80.7
GA total41014347
GA avg0.81.41.20.50.70.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMutondo StarsMufulira Wanderers
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%67%50%50%
1.50%42%17%8%
2.50%8%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMutondo StarsMufulira Wanderers
HATHAT
Clean sheets314336
Failed to score156426

Penalties

MetricMutondo StarsMufulira Wanderers
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMutondo StarsMufulira Wanderers
Wins11
Draws11
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0—2-01-2
Biggest losses1-23-00-12-0
Goals For1122
Goals Against2312

Model comparison

MetricMutondo StarsMufulira Wanderers
Form22%78%
Att43%57%
Def30%70%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h64%36%
Goals67%33%
Total43.7%56.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Mufulira Wanderers and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.00 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.70 @ Bet365
Away2.76 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.30 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.55 @ Betfair
No1.46 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mutondo Stars = 0.55 (league 1.02), Mufulira Wanderers = 0.88 (league 0.73)

Mufulira Wanderers
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mutondo Stars 0 24.1% 21.1% 9.2% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.2% 11.6% 5.1% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 3.6% 3.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.7% · Draw 37.1% · Away win 41.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1