Super League — Zambia
Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 13:00 • Edwin Imboela Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.68 (league 1.02) 0.88 (league 0.73)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.7% 35.6% 37.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
21.0%
0 - 1
18.4%
1 - 0
14.4%
Score & goals probability table
Nchanga Rangers
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nkwazi 0 21.0% 18.4% 8.1% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.4% 12.6% 5.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 4.9% 4.3% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNkwaziNchanga Rangers
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack20%27%
Defense80%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

46%
FT probability

2.5+

32%
FT probability

3.5+

23%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nkwazi Nchanga Rangers
HATHAT
Played66126511
Wins17%0%8%67%40%55%
Draws50%67%58%17%20%18%
Loses33%33%33%17%40%27%

Form: Nkwazi: LDDDLLDDDLWD • Nchanga Rangers: WWWLWDDLWLW

League goals

Metric Nkwazi Nchanga Rangers
HATHAT
GF total4378412
GF avg0.70.50.61.30.81.1
GA total5510257
GA avg0.80.80.80.31.00.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNkwaziNchanga Rangers
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%75%73%55%
1.58%8%36%9%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNkwaziNchanga Rangers
HATHAT
Clean sheets213415
Failed to score336123

Penalties

MetricNkwaziNchanga Rangers
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNkwaziNchanga Rangers
Wins13
Draws32
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—2-01-2
Biggest losses1-21-00-12-0
Goals For2122
Goals Against2112

Model comparison

MetricNkwaziNchanga Rangers
Form46%54%
Att43%57%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h62%38%
Goals56%44%
Total49.7%50.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Nkwazi or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.29 @ 1xBet
Draw2.80 @ Bet365
Away3.40 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.30 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.33 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.55 @ Betfair
No1.46 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nkwazi = 0.68 (league 1.02), Nchanga Rangers = 0.88 (league 0.73)

Nchanga Rangers
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nkwazi 0 21.0% 18.4% 8.1% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.4% 12.6% 5.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 4.9% 4.3% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.7% · Draw 35.6% · Away win 37.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1