Super League
— Zambia
Sat, Dec 6 2025 • 14:00 •
Nchanga Stadium
Expected Goals
1.53 (league 1.02)
0.08 (league 0.73)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 75.1% | 22.6% | 1.8% |
best score tips
1 - 0
30.6%
2 - 0
23.3%
0 - 0
20.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Nkana | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nchanga Rangers | 0 | 20.0% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 30.6% | 2.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 23.3% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Nchanga Rangers | Nkana |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 33% |
| Attack | 67% | 50% |
| Defense | 67% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
42%
FT probability
2.5+
30%
FT probability
3.5+
21%
FT probability
BTTS
48%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Nchanga Rangers | Nkana | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| Wins | 67% | 50% | 58% | 17% | 0% | 8% |
| Draws | 17% | 17% | 17% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Loses | 17% | 33% | 25% | 33% | 50% | 42% |
Form: Nchanga Rangers: WWWLWDDLWLWW • Nkana: DDLLDDLLLDDW
League goals
| Metric | Nchanga Rangers | Nkana | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 5 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| GA total | 2 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Nchanga Rangers | Nkana | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 50% | 33% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 8% | 0% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Nchanga Rangers | Nkana | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Nchanga Rangers | Nkana |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Nchanga Rangers | Nkana |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 0 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-2 | 1-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-0 | 0-1 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Nchanga Rangers | Nkana |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 95% | 5% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 61.5% | 38.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Nchanga Rangers or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Nchanga Rangers = 1.53 (league 1.02), Nkana = 0.08 (league 0.73)
| Nkana | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nchanga Rangers | 0 | 20.0% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 30.6% | 2.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 23.3% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 75.1% · Draw 22.6% · Away win 1.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1