Super League
— Zambia
Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 13:00 •
Levy Mwanawasa Stadium
Expected Goals
2.35 (league 1.02)
0.21 (league 0.73)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 82.5% | 12.0% | 2.2% |
best score tips
2 - 0
21.5%
1 - 0
18.3%
3 - 0
16.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Nkwazi | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| ZESCO United | 0 | 7.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.3% | 3.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 21.5% | 4.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 16.8% | 3.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 9.8% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | ZESCO United | Nkwazi |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 33% |
| Attack | 100% | 33% |
| Defense | 33% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
56%
FT probability
2.5+
40%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
58%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | ZESCO United | Nkwazi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| Wins | 67% | 20% | 38% | 14% | 0% | 8% |
| Draws | 33% | 20% | 25% | 43% | 67% | 54% |
| Loses | 0% | 60% | 38% | 43% | 33% | 38% |
Form: ZESCO United: WDWWLLLD • Nkwazi: LDDDLLDDDLWDL
League goals
| Metric | ZESCO United | Nkwazi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| GF avg | 3.0 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| GA total | 1 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | ZESCO United | Nkwazi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 63% | 50% | 46% | 77% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 13% | 8% | 8% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | ZESCO United | Nkwazi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | ZESCO United | Nkwazi |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | ZESCO United | Nkwazi |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 0-1 | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | 1-2 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | ZESCO United | Nkwazi |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 91% | 9% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 56% | 44% |
| Total | 59.8% | 40.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : ZESCO United or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): ZESCO United = 2.35 (league 1.02), Nkwazi = 0.21 (league 0.73)
| Nkwazi | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| ZESCO United | 0 | 7.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.3% | 3.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 21.5% | 4.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 16.8% | 3.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 9.8% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 82.5% · Draw 12.0% · Away win 2.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1