Super League — Zambia
Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 13:00 • Nkoloma Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.41 (league 1.03) 0.21 (league 0.72)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
81.1% 5.0% 0.9%
best score tips
3 - 0
17.7%
2 - 0
15.6%
4 - 0
15.1%
Score & goals probability table
Mutondo Stars
0 1 2 3 4 5
Red Arrows 0 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 9.1% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.6% 3.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 17.7% 3.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 15.1% 3.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 10.3% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRed ArrowsMutondo Stars
Played55
Form73%20%
Attack100%29%
Defense71%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.42 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Red Arrows Mutondo Stars
HATHAT
Played66126713
Wins100%33%67%33%0%15%
Draws0%67%33%33%43%38%
Loses0%0%0%33%57%46%

Form: Red Arrows: WDWWDWWDWWWD • Mutondo Stars: LLLWDWDLLLDDD

League goals

Metric Red Arrows Mutondo Stars
HATHAT
GF total15621426
GF avg2.51.01.80.70.30.5
GA total34741014
GA avg0.50.70.60.71.41.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRed ArrowsMutondo Stars
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%58%46%62%
1.550%0%0%38%
2.525%0%0%8%
3.58%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRed ArrowsMutondo Stars
HATHAT
Clean sheets325415
Failed to score011257

Penalties

MetricRed ArrowsMutondo Stars
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricRed ArrowsMutondo Stars
Wins31
Draws11
Losses03

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-21-0—
Biggest losses——1-23-0
Goals For4211
Goals Against1123

Model comparison

MetricRed ArrowsMutondo Stars
Form79%21%
Att78%22%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution94%6%
H2h64%36%
Goals56%44%
Total73.7%26.3%

Advice: Winner : Red Arrows

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.31 @ Betano
Draw5.00 @ Unibet
Away12.70 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.22 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.70 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.92 @ Marathonbet
No1.37 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Red Arrows = 3.41 (league 1.03), Mutondo Stars = 0.21 (league 0.72)

Mutondo Stars
0 1 2 3 4 5
Red Arrows 0 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 9.1% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.6% 3.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 17.7% 3.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 15.1% 3.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 10.3% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 81.1% · Draw 5.0% · Away win 0.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1