Super League — Zambia
Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 13:00 • Nkana Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.34 (league 1.03) 0.29 (league 0.72)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.6% 58.6% 18.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
53.2%
1 - 0
18.1%
0 - 1
15.4%
Score & goals probability table
ZESCO United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nkana 0 53.2% 15.4% 2.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.1% 5.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 3.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNkanaZESCO United
Played55
Form40%53%
Attack80%100%
Defense0%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

37%
FT probability

2.5+

26%
FT probability

3.5+

19%
FT probability

BTTS

46%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nkana ZESCO United
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins17%0%8%57%17%38%
Draws50%57%54%29%33%31%
Loses33%43%38%14%50%31%

Form: Nkana: DDLLDDLLLDDWD • ZESCO United: WDWWLLLDLWDWD

League goals

Metric Nkana ZESCO United
HATHAT
GF total32514216
GF avg0.50.30.42.00.31.2
GA total4812347
GA avg0.71.10.90.40.70.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNkanaZESCO United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.538%69%54%46%
1.50%15%31%8%
2.50%8%23%0%
3.50%0%8%0%
4.50%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNkanaZESCO United
HATHAT
Clean sheets224437
Failed to score358246

Penalties

MetricNkanaZESCO United
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNkanaZESCO United
Wins12
Draws21
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0—5-00-1
Biggest losses0-13-00-12-1
Goals For1151
Goals Against1312

Model comparison

MetricNkanaZESCO United
Form43%57%
Att44%56%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h7%93%
Goals13%88%
Total30.3%69.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or ZESCO United and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.50 @ Betfair
Draw2.75 @ Bet365
Away2.46 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.55 @ Betfair
No1.47 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.30 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.33 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nkana = 0.34 (league 1.03), ZESCO United = 0.29 (league 0.72)

ZESCO United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nkana 0 53.2% 15.4% 2.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.1% 5.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 3.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.6% · Draw 58.6% · Away win 18.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1