Super League
— Zambia
Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 13:00 •
Arthur Davies Stadium
Expected Goals
0.63 (league 1.05)
0.77 (league 0.70)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 26.7% | 38.2% | 35.1% |
best score tips
0 - 0
24.7%
0 - 1
19.0%
1 - 0
15.5%
Score & goals probability table
| NAPSA Stars | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mutondo Stars | 0 | 24.7% | 19.0% | 7.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 15.5% | 12.0% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mutondo Stars | NAPSA Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 53% |
| Attack | 17% | 67% |
| Defense | 17% | 83% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
44%
FT probability
2.5+
31%
FT probability
3.5+
22%
FT probability
BTTS
46%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mutondo Stars | NAPSA Stars | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 9 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| Wins | 29% | 0% | 13% | 38% | 13% | 25% |
| Draws | 29% | 44% | 38% | 50% | 38% | 44% |
| Loses | 43% | 56% | 50% | 13% | 50% | 31% |
Form: Mutondo Stars: LLLWDWDLLLDDDLLD • NAPSA Stars: LDDLWDDDLWLDLWWD
League goals
| Metric | Mutondo Stars | NAPSA Stars | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| GF avg | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 6 | 12 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 13 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mutondo Stars | NAPSA Stars | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 38% | 63% | 50% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 44% | 19% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 6% | 0% | 6% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mutondo Stars | NAPSA Stars | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mutondo Stars | NAPSA Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mutondo Stars | NAPSA Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | — | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-0 | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mutondo Stars | NAPSA Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 27% | 73% |
| Att | 20% | 80% |
| Def | 17% | 83% |
| Poisson Distribution | 45% | 55% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 36.5% | 63.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or NAPSA Stars and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Mutondo Stars = 0.63 (league 1.05), NAPSA Stars = 0.77 (league 0.70)
| NAPSA Stars | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mutondo Stars | 0 | 24.7% | 19.0% | 7.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 15.5% | 12.0% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.7% · Draw 38.2% · Away win 35.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1
