Super League — Zambia
Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 13:00 • Arthur Davies Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.63 (league 1.05) 0.77 (league 0.70)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.7% 38.2% 35.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
24.7%
0 - 1
19.0%
1 - 0
15.5%
Score & goals probability table
NAPSA Stars
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mutondo Stars 0 24.7% 19.0% 7.3% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.5% 12.0% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 4.9% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMutondo StarsNAPSA Stars
Played55
Form20%53%
Attack17%67%
Defense17%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 11 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

44%
FT probability

2.5+

31%
FT probability

3.5+

22%
FT probability

BTTS

46%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mutondo Stars NAPSA Stars
HATHAT
Played79168816
Wins29%0%13%38%13%25%
Draws29%44%38%50%38%44%
Loses43%56%50%13%50%31%

Form: Mutondo Stars: LLLWDWDLLLDDDLLD • NAPSA Stars: LDDLWDDDLWLDLWWD

League goals

Metric Mutondo Stars NAPSA Stars
HATHAT
GF total4266511
GF avg0.60.20.40.80.60.7
GA total612184913
GA avg0.91.31.10.51.10.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMutondo StarsNAPSA Stars
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.538%63%50%50%
1.50%44%19%25%
2.50%6%0%6%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMutondo StarsNAPSA Stars
HATHAT
Clean sheets426538
Failed to score3710358

Penalties

MetricMutondo StarsNAPSA Stars
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMutondo StarsNAPSA Stars
Wins12
Draws33
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0—2-00-2
Biggest losses0-23-00-22-0
Goals For1122
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricMutondo StarsNAPSA Stars
Form27%73%
Att20%80%
Def17%83%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h50%50%
Goals60%40%
Total36.5%63.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or NAPSA Stars and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mutondo Stars = 0.63 (league 1.05), NAPSA Stars = 0.77 (league 0.70)

NAPSA Stars
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mutondo Stars 0 24.7% 19.0% 7.3% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.5% 12.0% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 4.9% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.7% · Draw 38.2% · Away win 35.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1