Super League
— Zambia
Fri, Feb 6 2026 • 13:00 •
Nkana Stadium
Expected Goals
1.30 (league 1.05)
0.77 (league 0.70)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 48.8% | 28.8% | 22.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
16.4%
0 - 0
12.7%
1 - 1
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Prison Leopards | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nkana | 0 | 12.7% | 9.8% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.4% | 12.6% | 4.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.6% | 8.2% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Nkana | Prison Leopards |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 13% |
| Attack | 100% | 33% |
| Defense | 67% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
53%
FT probability
2.5+
37%
FT probability
3.5+
26%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Nkana | Prison Leopards | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 8 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| Wins | 38% | 13% | 25% | 13% | 0% | 6% |
| Draws | 38% | 50% | 44% | 50% | 56% | 53% |
| Loses | 25% | 38% | 31% | 38% | 44% | 41% |
Form: Nkana: DDLLDDLLLDDWDWWW • Prison Leopards: DDLDDDLLDWLDDDLLL
League goals
| Metric | Nkana | Prison Leopards | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 12 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 5 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 22 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Nkana | Prison Leopards | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 63% | 53% | 76% |
| 1.5 | 6% | 13% | 18% | 41% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 6% | 0% | 12% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Nkana | Prison Leopards | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Nkana | Prison Leopards |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Nkana | Prison Leopards |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-1 | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-0 | 0-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Nkana | Prison Leopards |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 87% | 13% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 80% | 20% |
| Poisson Distribution | 60% | 40% |
| H2h | 64% | 36% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 72.2% | 27.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Nkana or draw and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.75 @ Bet365
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away4.50 @ Bet365
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.53.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.36 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Nkana = 1.30 (league 1.05), Prison Leopards = 0.77 (league 0.70)
| Prison Leopards | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nkana | 0 | 12.7% | 9.8% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.4% | 12.6% | 4.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.6% | 8.2% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.8% · Draw 28.8% · Away win 22.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1