Super League
— Zambia
Sat, Jan 24 2026 • 14:00 •
Nkana Stadium
Expected Goals
1.09 (league 1.03)
0.97 (league 0.72)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 38.0% | 30.2% | 31.6% |
best score tips
1 - 0
13.9%
1 - 1
13.5%
0 - 0
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Prison Leopards | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nkana | 0 | 12.7% | 12.3% | 6.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.9% | 13.5% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.6% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Nkana | Prison Leopards |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 20% |
| Attack | 67% | 22% |
| Defense | 56% | 22% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
52%
FT probability
2.5+
37%
FT probability
3.5+
26%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Nkana | Prison Leopards | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| Wins | 29% | 0% | 14% | 13% | 0% | 7% |
| Draws | 43% | 57% | 50% | 50% | 71% | 60% |
| Loses | 29% | 43% | 36% | 38% | 29% | 33% |
Form: Nkana: DDLLDDLLLDDWDW • Prison Leopards: DDLDDDLLDWLDDDL
League goals
| Metric | Nkana | Prison Leopards | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 5 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 18 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Nkana | Prison Leopards | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 43% | 71% | 53% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 7% | 14% | 20% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 7% | 0% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Nkana | Prison Leopards | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Nkana | Prison Leopards |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Nkana | Prison Leopards |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | — | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-0 | 0-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Nkana | Prison Leopards |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 52% | 48% |
| H2h | 64% | 36% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 66.2% | 33.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Nkana or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Nkana = 1.09 (league 1.03), Prison Leopards = 0.97 (league 0.72)
| Prison Leopards | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nkana | 0 | 12.7% | 12.3% | 6.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.9% | 13.5% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.6% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.0% · Draw 30.2% · Away win 31.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1