Super League — Zambia
Fri, Feb 6 2026 • 13:00 • Arthur Davies Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.40 (league 1.05) 0.89 (league 0.70)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
15.9% 38.1% 46.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
27.4%
0 - 1
24.5%
1 - 0
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
Nchanga Rangers
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mutondo Stars 0 27.4% 24.5% 11.0% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1%
1 11.0% 9.8% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 2.2% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMutondo StarsNchanga Rangers
Played55
Form20%40%
Attack17%33%
Defense17%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.22 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 12 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

41%
FT probability

2.5+

29%
FT probability

3.5+

21%
FT probability

BTTS

50%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mutondo Stars Nchanga Rangers
HATHAT
Played89178917
Wins25%0%12%50%44%47%
Draws38%44%41%38%22%29%
Loses38%56%47%13%33%24%

Form: Mutondo Stars: LLLWDWDLLLDDDLLDD • Nchanga Rangers: WWWLWDDLWLWWDDDWL

League goals

Metric Mutondo Stars Nchanga Rangers
HATHAT
GF total5279615
GF avg0.60.20.41.10.70.9
GA total71219369
GA avg0.91.31.10.40.70.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMutondo StarsNchanga Rangers
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.541%65%65%47%
1.50%41%24%6%
2.50%6%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMutondo StarsNchanga Rangers
HATHAT
Clean sheets426549
Failed to score3710246

Penalties

MetricMutondo StarsNchanga Rangers
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMutondo StarsNchanga Rangers
Wins13
Draws33
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0—2-01-2
Biggest losses0-23-00-12-0
Goals For1122
Goals Against2312

Model comparison

MetricMutondo StarsNchanga Rangers
Form33%67%
Att33%67%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution33%67%
H2h29%71%
Goals33%67%
Total31.7%68.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Nchanga Rangers and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.34 @ 1xBet
Draw2.60 @ 10Bet
Away2.57 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.65 @ Superbet
No1.42 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.50 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.23 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mutondo Stars = 0.40 (league 1.05), Nchanga Rangers = 0.89 (league 0.70)

Nchanga Rangers
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mutondo Stars 0 27.4% 24.5% 11.0% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1%
1 11.0% 9.8% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 2.2% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.9% · Draw 38.1% · Away win 46.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1