Super League
— Zambia
Sat, Jan 24 2026 • 14:00 •
Arthur Davies Stadium
Expected Goals
0.41 (league 1.03)
0.87 (league 0.72)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 16.5% | 38.6% | 44.8% |
best score tips
0 - 0
27.8%
0 - 1
24.2%
1 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Nchanga Rangers | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mutondo Stars | 0 | 27.8% | 24.2% | 10.5% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.4% | 9.9% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mutondo Stars | Nchanga Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 53% |
| Attack | 11% | 44% |
| Defense | 44% | 78% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
44%
FT probability
2.5+
31%
FT probability
3.5+
22%
FT probability
BTTS
50%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mutondo Stars | Nchanga Rangers | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 8 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| Wins | 29% | 0% | 13% | 57% | 43% | 50% |
| Draws | 29% | 38% | 33% | 29% | 29% | 29% |
| Loses | 43% | 63% | 53% | 14% | 29% | 21% |
Form: Mutondo Stars: LLLWDWDLLLDDDLL • Nchanga Rangers: WWWLWDDLWLWWDD
League goals
| Metric | Mutondo Stars | Nchanga Rangers | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 14 |
| GF avg | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 6 | 12 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mutondo Stars | Nchanga Rangers | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 40% | 67% | 71% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 47% | 29% | 7% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 7% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mutondo Stars | Nchanga Rangers | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mutondo Stars | Nchanga Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mutondo Stars | Nchanga Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | — | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-0 | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mutondo Stars | Nchanga Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 27% | 73% |
| Att | 20% | 80% |
| Def | 29% | 71% |
| Poisson Distribution | 32% | 68% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 28.3% | 71.7% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Nchanga Rangers and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Mutondo Stars = 0.41 (league 1.03), Nchanga Rangers = 0.87 (league 0.72)
| Nchanga Rangers | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mutondo Stars | 0 | 27.8% | 24.2% | 10.5% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.4% | 9.9% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.5% · Draw 38.6% · Away win 44.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1