Super League
— Zambia
Sat, Jan 24 2026 • 14:00 •
Edwin Imboela Stadium
Expected Goals
0.75 (league 1.03)
1.16 (league 0.72)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 23.7% | 30.7% | 45.4% |
best score tips
0 - 1
17.2%
0 - 0
14.8%
1 - 1
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Nkwazi | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Green Buffaloes | 0 | 14.8% | 17.2% | 10.0% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 11.1% | 12.9% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 4.2% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Green Buffaloes | Nkwazi |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 53% |
| Attack | 56% | 56% |
| Defense | 11% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
54%
FT probability
2.5+
38%
FT probability
3.5+
27%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Green Buffaloes | Nkwazi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 6 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| Wins | 29% | 17% | 23% | 13% | 14% | 13% |
| Draws | 43% | 50% | 46% | 50% | 57% | 53% |
| Loses | 29% | 33% | 31% | 38% | 29% | 33% |
Form: Green Buffaloes: WLWLDDDLWDLDD • Nkwazi: LDDDLLDDDLWDLWD
League goals
| Metric | Green Buffaloes | Nkwazi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 4 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 10 | 6 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Green Buffaloes | Nkwazi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 69% | 77% | 53% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 23% | 23% | 13% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 8% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 8% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 8% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Green Buffaloes | Nkwazi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Green Buffaloes | Nkwazi |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Green Buffaloes | Nkwazi |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-2 | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-5 | 2-0 | 1-2 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Green Buffaloes | Nkwazi |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 41% | 59% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 36% | 64% |
| Total | 38.7% | 61.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Nkwazi
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Green Buffaloes = 0.75 (league 1.03), Nkwazi = 1.16 (league 0.72)
| Nkwazi | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Green Buffaloes | 0 | 14.8% | 17.2% | 10.0% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 11.1% | 12.9% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 4.2% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.7% · Draw 30.7% · Away win 45.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1