Super League — Zambia
Wed, Feb 4 2026 • 14:00 • Nchanga Stadium
Match Postponed
Expected Goals
0.95 (league 1.04) 0.46 (league 0.70)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.3% 36.3% 17.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
24.5%
1 - 0
23.2%
0 - 1
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
Red Arrows
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nchanga Rangers 0 24.5% 11.2% 2.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.2% 10.7% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.0% 5.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNchanga RangersRed Arrows
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack33%67%
Defense67%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

48%
FT probability

2.5+

34%
FT probability

3.5+

24%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nchanga Rangers Red Arrows
HATHAT
Played89178917
Wins50%44%47%100%22%59%
Draws38%22%29%0%56%29%
Loses13%33%24%0%22%12%

Form: Nchanga Rangers: WWWLWDDLWLWWDDDWL • Red Arrows: WDWWDWWDWWWDWLLWD

League goals

Metric Nchanga Rangers Red Arrows
HATHAT
GF total961518725
GF avg1.10.70.92.30.81.5
GA total3693811
GA avg0.40.70.50.40.90.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNchanga RangersRed Arrows
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%47%82%53%
1.524%6%41%6%
2.50%0%18%6%
3.50%0%6%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNchanga RangersRed Arrows
HATHAT
Clean sheets549538
Failed to score246033

Penalties

MetricNchanga RangersRed Arrows
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNchanga RangersRed Arrows
Wins33
Draws31
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-24-11-2
Biggest losses0-12-0—3-1
Goals For2242
Goals Against1213

Model comparison

MetricNchanga RangersRed Arrows
Form46%54%
Att33%67%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h29%71%
Goals36%64%
Total46.8%53.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Red Arrows and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.43 @ 1xBet
Draw2.50 @ 10Bet
Away2.57 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.70 @ William Hill
No1.41 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.50 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.22 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nchanga Rangers = 0.95 (league 1.04), Red Arrows = 0.46 (league 0.70)

Red Arrows
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nchanga Rangers 0 24.5% 11.2% 2.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.2% 10.7% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.0% 5.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.3% · Draw 36.3% · Away win 17.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1