Super League — Zambia
Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 13:00 • Nkoloma Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.75 (league 1.03) 0.25 (league 0.72)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
74.2% 20.1% 4.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
23.6%
2 - 0
20.7%
0 - 0
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
ZESCO United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Red Arrows 0 13.5% 3.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.6% 5.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 20.7% 5.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.1% 3.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.3% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRed ArrowsZESCO United
Played55
Form40%40%
Attack80%100%
Defense40%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Red Arrows ZESCO United
HATHAT
Played1011219918
Wins90%18%52%56%22%39%
Draws10%55%33%22%22%22%
Loses0%27%14%22%56%39%

Form: Red Arrows: WDWWDWWDWWWDWLLWDDWLD • ZESCO United: WDWWLLLDLWDWDLWWLL

League goals

Metric Red Arrows ZESCO United
HATHAT
GF total2092916521
GF avg2.00.81.41.80.61.2
GA total311145813
GA avg0.31.00.70.60.90.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRed ArrowsZESCO United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%52%61%56%
1.538%10%28%17%
2.514%5%17%0%
3.55%0%6%0%
4.50%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRed ArrowsZESCO United
HATHAT
Clean sheets7310538
Failed to score134257

Penalties

MetricRed ArrowsZESCO United
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricRed ArrowsZESCO United
Wins32
Draws21
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-25-01-2
Biggest losses—3-11-22-1
Goals For4252
Goals Against1322

Model comparison

MetricRed ArrowsZESCO United
Form50%50%
Att44%56%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution88%12%
H2h40%60%
Goals50%50%
Total56.5%43.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Red Arrows or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.05 @ Betano
Draw2.80 @ Bet365
Away4.26 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.47 @ Marathonbet
No1.46 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.36 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Red Arrows = 1.75 (league 1.03), ZESCO United = 0.25 (league 0.72)

ZESCO United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Red Arrows 0 13.5% 3.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.6% 5.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 20.7% 5.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.1% 3.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.3% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 74.2% · Draw 20.1% · Away win 4.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1