Super League
— Zambia
Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 13:00 •
Edwin Imboela Stadium
Expected Goals
0.87 (league 1.04)
0.38 (league 0.71)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 45.7% | 38.9% | 15.4% |
best score tips
0 - 0
28.6%
1 - 0
24.9%
0 - 1
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Mutondo Stars | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nkwazi | 0 | 28.6% | 10.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 24.9% | 9.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.9% | 4.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Nkwazi | Mutondo Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 73% |
| Attack | 15% | 46% |
| Defense | 54% | 85% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
46%
FT probability
2.5+
32%
FT probability
3.5+
23%
FT probability
BTTS
52%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Nkwazi | Mutondo Stars | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 10 | 21 | 12 | 10 | 22 |
| Wins | 18% | 10% | 14% | 42% | 0% | 23% |
| Draws | 36% | 50% | 43% | 33% | 50% | 41% |
| Loses | 45% | 40% | 43% | 25% | 50% | 36% |
Form: Nkwazi: LDDDLLDDDLWDLWDLWDLLL • Mutondo Stars: LLLWDWDLLLDDDLLDDDWDWW
League goals
| Metric | Nkwazi | Mutondo Stars | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 13 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 10 | 10 | 20 | 8 | 13 | 21 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Nkwazi | Mutondo Stars | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 43% | 71% | 50% | 59% |
| 1.5 | 14% | 14% | 9% | 32% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 5% | 0% | 5% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Nkwazi | Mutondo Stars | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 6 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Nkwazi | Mutondo Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Nkwazi | Mutondo Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-1 | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 4-0 | 0-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Nkwazi | Mutondo Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 27% | 73% |
| Att | 25% | 75% |
| Def | 25% | 75% |
| Poisson Distribution | 69% | 31% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 86% | 14% |
| Total | 52.0% | 48.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Nkwazi or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Nkwazi = 0.87 (league 1.04), Mutondo Stars = 0.38 (league 0.71)
| Mutondo Stars | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nkwazi | 0 | 28.6% | 10.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 24.9% | 9.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.9% | 4.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.7% · Draw 38.9% · Away win 15.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1