Super League — Zambia
Wed, Mar 11 2026 • 13:00 • Arthur Davies Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.76 (league 1.05) 0.40 (league 0.70)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.8% 41.6% 17.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
31.3%
1 - 0
23.9%
0 - 1
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
Nkana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mutondo Stars 0 31.3% 12.5% 2.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.9% 9.5% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 9.1% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMutondo StarsNkana
Played55
Form73%40%
Attack50%21%
Defense79%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

42%
FT probability

2.5+

30%
FT probability

3.5+

21%
FT probability

BTTS

49%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mutondo Stars Nkana
HATHAT
Played121123111122
Wins42%0%22%45%18%32%
Draws33%55%43%27%36%32%
Loses25%45%35%27%45%36%

Form: Mutondo Stars: LLLWDWDLLLDDDLLDDDWDWWD • Nkana: DDLLDDLLLDDWDWWWWWLLLW

League goals

Metric Mutondo Stars Nkana
HATHAT
GF total1041410414
GF avg0.80.40.60.90.40.6
GA total8142261117
GA avg0.71.31.00.51.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMutondo StarsNkana
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.552%61%50%59%
1.59%30%14%14%
2.50%4%0%5%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMutondo StarsNkana
HATHAT
Clean sheets729549
Failed to score47114711

Penalties

MetricMutondo StarsNkana
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMutondo StarsNkana
Wins25
Draws32
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—2-00-1
Biggest losses0-23-00-13-0
Goals For2121
Goals Against2313

Model comparison

MetricMutondo StarsNkana
Form65%35%
Att70%30%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h38%62%
Goals38%63%
Total56.2%44.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Mutondo Stars or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.82 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.75 @ Bet365
Away2.81 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.40 @ Betfair
No1.53 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.25 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.33 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mutondo Stars = 0.76 (league 1.05), Nkana = 0.40 (league 0.70)

Nkana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mutondo Stars 0 31.3% 12.5% 2.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.9% 9.5% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 9.1% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.8% · Draw 41.6% · Away win 17.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1