Super League — Zambia
Thu, Mar 19 2026 • 13:00 • Shinde Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.68 (league 1.03) 0.28 (league 0.72)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.6% 45.9% 13.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
38.3%
1 - 0
26.1%
0 - 1
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
Nkana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mufulira Wanderers 0 38.3% 10.7% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.1% 7.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 8.9% 2.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMufulira WanderersNkana
Played55
Form67%33%
Attack56%33%
Defense56%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

38%
FT probability

2.5+

27%
FT probability

3.5+

19%
FT probability

BTTS

48%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mufulira Wanderers Nkana
HATHAT
Played131225121224
Wins46%50%48%42%17%29%
Draws23%17%20%33%42%38%
Loses31%33%32%25%42%33%

Form: Mufulira Wanderers: WDLLWDWDWLLWDWLLWWWLWWLWD • Nkana: DDLLDDLLLDDWDWWWWWLLLWDD

League goals

Metric Mufulira Wanderers Nkana
HATHAT
GF total991810515
GF avg0.70.80.70.80.40.6
GA total691561218
GA avg0.50.80.60.51.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMufulira WanderersNkana
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%52%50%58%
1.516%8%13%13%
2.50%0%0%4%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMufulira WanderersNkana
HATHAT
Clean sheets75126410
Failed to score65115712

Penalties

MetricMufulira WanderersNkana
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMufulira WanderersNkana
Wins35
Draws12
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-22-00-1
Biggest losses0-12-00-13-0
Goals For2221
Goals Against1213

Model comparison

MetricMufulira WanderersNkana
Form67%33%
Att63%38%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h40%60%
Goals42%58%
Total55.3%44.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Mufulira Wanderers or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.40 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.85 @ Unibet
Away3.75 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.38 @ BetVictor
No1.57 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.36 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mufulira Wanderers = 0.68 (league 1.03), Nkana = 0.28 (league 0.72)

Nkana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mufulira Wanderers 0 38.3% 10.7% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.1% 7.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 8.9% 2.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.6% · Draw 45.9% · Away win 13.5%

vtt 4 , vtd1